USA · Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers

Kick-off 23:00 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Chicago Fire 33.0% Draw 18.4% Portland Timbers 48.6%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Chicago Fire

W L L W W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Portland Timbers

W W D W L L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chicago Fire win33.0%

Draw18.4%

Portland Timbers win48.6%

Over 1.5 goals97.4%

Over 2.5 goals90.0%

Over 3.5 goals77.7%

Both teams to score86.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.9%

Home Team to Score

90.8%

Home Over 0.5

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.1%

Goal in Both Halves86.1%

Home or Away (12)82.2%

Draw or Away (X2)66.3%

Draw No Bet - Away59.5%

Home or Draw (1X)50.7%

Away Win48.9%

Draw No Bet - Home40.5%

Home Win33.3%

Draw17.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.5%

Over 2.5 Goals89.6%

Over 3.5 Goals77.4%

4+ Goals77.4%

Over 4.5 Goals61.1%

Under 5.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals43.8%

Under 4.5 Goals38.9%

2-4 Goals35.4%

3-4 Goals28.5%

Under 3.5 Goals22.6%

1-3 Goals21.7%

2-3 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals12.2%

Under 2.5 Goals10.4%

1-2 Goals9.5%

Exactly 2 Goals6.9%

Under 1.5 Goals3.5%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.1%

Home Team to Score90.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.8%

Away Win to Nil8.3%

Home Clean Sheet5.5%

Home Win to Nil5.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.1%

Home Over 0.590.8%

Away Over 1.578.2%

Home Over 1.569.5%

Away Over 2.555.0%

Away 3+ Goals55.0%

Home Over 2.543.6%

Home 3+ Goals43.6%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Home Exactly 121.3%

Away Exactly 115.9%

Home Exactly 08.8%

Away Exactly 05.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home81.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)33.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away18.0%

Away to win by 3+18.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 213.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.6%

Home to win by 29.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.3%

Home to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.4%

Away & Over 2.545.4%

Away & BTTS40.6%

Home & Over 2.530.7%

Home & BTTS28.3%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

Away & No BTTS8.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Home & No BTTS5.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & Under 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.9%

HT Over 1.569.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score48.5%

HT Away Win41.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT/FT Away/Away32.2%

HT Home Win31.1%

HT Under 1.530.9%

HT Draw27.5%

HT/FT Home/Home20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT Under 0.59.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners73.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners73.7%

Away Most Corners63.9%

Over 9.5 Corners62.2%

Under 11.5 Corners61.9%

Over 10.5 Corners50.0%

Under 10.5 Corners50.0%

Home Over 4.5 Corners46.8%

Over 11.5 Corners38.1%

Under 9.5 Corners37.8%

Under 8.5 Corners26.3%

Home Most Corners25.2%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards83.5%

Over 2.5 Cards70.9%

Under 4.5 Cards69.4%

Under 3.5 Cards50.1%

Over 3.5 Cards49.9%

Over 4.5 Cards30.6%

Under 2.5 Cards29.1%

Over 5.5 Cards16.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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