USA · Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps

Full time · 3:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Chicago Fire 4.5% Draw 9.1% Vancouver Whitecaps 86.4%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 59%

✓ Pick was correct (3:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 95.5% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 4.5% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Vancouver Whitecaps: 6 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

95.5%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

4.5%

Only the uncovered result loses

Chicago Fire

L L D D D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:13 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.17

Vancouver Whitecaps

D W L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 13:7 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Chicago Fire win4.5%

Draw9.1%

Vancouver Whitecaps win86.4%

Over 1.5 goals95.0%

Over 2.5 goals84.3%

Over 3.5 goals68.2%

Both teams to score58.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

HT Over 0.5

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away94.7%

Draw or Away (X2)93.7%

Home or Away (12)90.3%

Away Win85.5%

Both Halves Over 0.581.1%

Goal in Both Halves81.1%

Home or Draw (1X)13.0%

Draw8.2%

Draw No Bet - Home5.3%

Home Win4.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals83.0%

Under 5.5 Goals68.8%

Over 3.5 Goals67.1%

4+ Goals67.1%

Under 4.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Over 4.5 Goals48.6%

2-4 Goals44.6%

3-4 Goals34.4%

Under 3.5 Goals32.9%

Over 5.5 Goals31.2%

1-3 Goals30.4%

2-3 Goals26.1%

Under 2.5 Goals17.0%

Exactly 3 Goals15.9%

1-2 Goals14.6%

Exactly 2 Goals10.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.2%

Home Team to Score58.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.5%

Away Clean Sheet39.6%

Away Win to Nil38.7%

Home Clean Sheet2.3%

Home Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.2%

Away Over 1.587.4%

Away Over 2.571.0%

Away 3+ Goals71.0%

Home Over 0.558.9%

Home Exactly 039.6%

Home Exactly 136.1%

Home Over 1.522.8%

Home Exactly 216.4%

Away Exactly 216.4%

Away Exactly 18.7%

Home Over 2.56.4%

Home 3+ Goals6.4%

Away Exactly 02.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away93.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)88.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)85.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home78.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away71.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home63.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)53.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away53.1%

Away to win by 3+53.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)45.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home45.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away34.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home27.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away19.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 218.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 114.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home13.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away9.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw3.4%

Home to win by 13.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.1%

Home to win by 21.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.575.4%

BTTS & Over 2.554.3%

Away & BTTS46.8%

Away & No BTTS38.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.3%

Away & Under 2.510.1%

Draw & BTTS7.2%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

Draw & Over 2.54.0%

Home & Over 2.53.6%

Home & BTTS3.4%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Home & No BTTS1.4%

Home & Under 2.51.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.8%

HT Away Win69.3%

HT/FT Away/Away66.7%

HT Over 1.562.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Under 1.537.9%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score27.4%

HT Draw22.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.5%

HT Under 0.512.2%

HT Home Win8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Home/Home2.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners92.1%

Under 10.5 Corners86.2%

Under 9.5 Corners77.6%

Under 8.5 Corners66.2%

Away Most Corners49.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners37.1%

Home Most Corners35.6%

Over 8.5 Corners33.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners27.5%

Over 9.5 Corners22.4%

Over 10.5 Corners13.8%

Over 11.5 Corners7.9%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards83.5%

Over 2.5 Cards70.9%

Under 4.5 Cards69.4%

Under 3.5 Cards50.1%

Over 3.5 Cards49.9%

Over 4.5 Cards30.6%

Under 2.5 Cards29.1%

Over 5.5 Cards16.5%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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