Spain · Copa del Rey

Cieza vs Granada CF

Kick-off 20:30 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Cieza 85.9% Draw 10.5% Granada CF 3.6%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Cieza

No recent results stored yet

Granada CF

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 5:18 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 3

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cieza win85.9%

Draw10.5%

Granada CF win3.6%

Over 1.5 goals89.8%

Over 2.5 goals73.0%

Over 3.5 goals52.5%

Both teams to score44.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.2%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.7%

Home Win

86.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.4%

Home or Draw (1X)95.3%

Home or Away (12)90.2%

Home Win86.0%

Both Halves Over 0.571.8%

Goal in Both Halves71.8%

Draw or Away (X2)13.5%

Draw9.3%

Exactly 1 Goal8.5%

Draw No Bet - Away4.6%

Away Win4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals88.7%

Under 5.5 Goals82.1%

Over 2.5 Goals72.6%

Under 4.5 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals56.0%

Over 3.5 Goals52.2%

4+ Goals52.2%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals47.8%

1-3 Goals45.0%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.6%

Over 4.5 Goals32.7%

Under 2.5 Goals27.4%

1-2 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 5.5 Goals17.9%

Exactly 2 Goals16.1%

Under 1.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.2%

Home Clean Sheet53.7%

Home Win to Nil51.5%

Away Team to Score45.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.8%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.582.2%

Home Over 2.561.2%

Home 3+ Goals61.2%

Away Exactly 053.7%

Away Over 0.545.7%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 221.0%

Home Exactly 113.2%

Away Over 1.512.6%

Away Exactly 210.2%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away70.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)48.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home48.4%

Home to win by 3+48.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)30.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away30.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.8%

Home to win by 220.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 116.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 13.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.567.6%

Home & No BTTS51.5%

BTTS & Over 2.539.5%

Home & BTTS34.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.533.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.4%

Home & Under 2.518.4%

Draw & BTTS7.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Over 2.52.7%

Away & Over 2.52.4%

Away & BTTS2.3%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.9%

HT Home Win67.1%

HT/FT Home/Home64.8%

HT Over 1.551.0%

HT Under 1.549.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw26.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.9%

HT Both Teams Score18.4%

HT Under 0.518.1%

HT Away Win6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Away2.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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