Mexico · Liga MX

Club America vs Atletico San Luis

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Aug 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Club America 67.2% Draw 15.3% Atletico San Luis 17.5%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Club America: 8 points versus 2 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.13 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Club America

W D W D L

Form 2-2-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.4

Atletico San Luis

D D L

Form 0-2-1 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club America win67.2%

Draw15.3%

Atletico San Luis win17.5%

Over 1.5 goals97.3%

Over 2.5 goals89.9%

Over 3.5 goals77.5%

Both teams to score82.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.0%

Goal in Both Halves86.0%

Home or Away (12)84.8%

Home or Draw (1X)81.3%

Draw No Bet - Home79.1%

Home Win67.0%

Draw or Away (X2)32.1%

Draw No Bet - Away20.9%

Away Win17.8%

Draw14.3%

Exactly 1 Goal2.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals89.0%

Over 3.5 Goals76.7%

4+ Goals76.7%

Over 4.5 Goals60.4%

Under 5.5 Goals57.0%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals43.0%

Under 4.5 Goals39.6%

2-4 Goals35.6%

3-4 Goals28.6%

Under 3.5 Goals23.3%

1-3 Goals21.8%

2-3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 3 Goals12.3%

Under 2.5 Goals11.0%

1-2 Goals9.5%

Exactly 2 Goals6.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score83.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.9%

Home Clean Sheet15.3%

Home Win to Nil14.8%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Away Over 0.583.8%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 1.555.2%

Away Exactly 128.6%

Away Over 2.528.5%

Away 3+ Goals28.5%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 015.3%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.5%

Home to win by 3+32.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 19.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.9%

Home & Over 2.562.4%

Home & BTTS52.2%

Away & Over 2.516.0%

Away & BTTS15.1%

Home & No BTTS14.8%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Under 2.53.7%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS2.7%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.9%

HT Over 1.569.0%

HT Home Win54.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.2%

HT/FT Home/Home47.6%

HT Both Teams Score44.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.0%

HT Draw25.6%

HT Away Win20.3%

Equal Goals Each Half17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Away/Away10.4%

HT Under 0.59.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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