Mexico · Liga MX

Club America vs CF Pachuca

● LIVE 45' · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Club America 71.3% Draw 17.0% CF Pachuca 11.7%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club America: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Club America

W W D D D L

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:12 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 2

CF Pachuca

L L D W W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club America win71.3%

Draw17.0%

CF Pachuca win11.7%

Over 1.5 goals90.5%

Over 2.5 goals73.9%

Over 3.5 goals53.7%

Both teams to score63.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.5%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.3%

Draw No Bet - Home85.2%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Both Halves Over 0.572.5%

Goal in Both Halves72.5%

Home Win72.0%

Draw or Away (X2)27.8%

Draw15.3%

Draw No Bet - Away14.8%

Away Win12.5%

Exactly 1 Goal8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.5%

Under 5.5 Goals80.9%

Over 2.5 Goals73.8%

Under 4.5 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals55.4%

Over 3.5 Goals53.6%

4+ Goals53.6%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.4%

1-3 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals35.9%

Over 4.5 Goals34.1%

Under 2.5 Goals26.2%

1-2 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.1%

Exactly 2 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals10.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.4%

Away Team to Score66.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.8%

Home Clean Sheet33.3%

Home Win to Nil31.2%

Away Clean Sheet6.3%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.4%

Home Over 1.576.0%

Away Over 0.566.4%

Home Over 2.551.9%

Home 3+ Goals51.9%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 033.3%

Away Over 1.529.9%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Away Exactly 220.0%

Home Exactly 117.5%

Away Over 2.59.9%

Away 3+ Goals9.9%

Home Exactly 06.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.6%

Home to win by 3+31.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away27.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 220.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 18.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.558.1%

BTTS & Over 2.555.8%

Home & BTTS40.7%

Home & No BTTS31.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.0%

Home & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Away & Over 2.58.9%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

Away & BTTS8.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.56.4%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.4%

HT Home Win55.1%

HT Over 1.551.8%

HT/FT Home/Home50.1%

HT Under 1.548.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.2%

HT Both Teams Score27.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Under 0.517.6%

HT Away Win14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Away/Away6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners73.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Over 9.5 Corners62.2%

Under 11.5 Corners61.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners58.8%

Over 10.5 Corners50.0%

Under 10.5 Corners50.0%

Away Most Corners47.9%

Home Most Corners39.8%

Over 11.5 Corners38.1%

Under 9.5 Corners37.8%

Under 8.5 Corners26.3%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards86.1%

Over 3.5 Cards71.1%

Under 5.5 Cards64.5%

Over 4.5 Cards53.0%

Under 4.5 Cards47.0%

Over 5.5 Cards35.5%

Under 3.5 Cards28.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.3%

Under 2.5 Cards13.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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