Mexico · Liga MX

Club America vs Club Tijuana

Kick-off 04:00 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Club America 57.0% Draw 25.6% Club Tijuana 17.4%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 11.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club Tijuana: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.8%

Exact-score model probability

Club America

L W W D D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 12:9 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

Club Tijuana

W D W D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club America win57.0%

Draw25.6%

Club Tijuana win17.4%

Over 1.5 goals77.1%

Over 2.5 goals51.4%

Over 3.5 goals29.3%

Both teams to score51.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Cards

86.8%

Under 4.5 Goals

85.8%

Over 8.5 Corners

85.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.2%

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Draw No Bet - Home75.6%

Home Win58.4%

Both Halves Over 0.555.0%

Goal in Both Halves55.0%

Draw or Away (X2)41.6%

Draw No Bet - Away24.4%

Draw22.8%

Away Win18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal17.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.1%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.8%

Over 1.5 Goals75.7%

Under 3.5 Goals70.7%

1-3 Goals64.2%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals37.2%

Over 3.5 Goals29.3%

4+ Goals29.3%

Under 1.5 Goals24.3%

Exactly 2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.2%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.7%

Away Team to Score60.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.7%

Home Clean Sheet39.8%

Home Win to Nil33.3%

Away Clean Sheet16.3%

Away Win to Nil9.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.7%

Away Over 0.560.1%

Home Over 1.554.1%

Away Exactly 039.8%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 129.6%

Home Over 2.527.2%

Home 3+ Goals27.2%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Over 1.523.5%

Away Exactly 216.9%

Home Exactly 016.3%

Away Over 2.56.6%

Away 3+ Goals6.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)58.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.8%

Home to win by 124.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.6%

Home to win by 3+15.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 112.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 24.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.539.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.7%

Home & Over 2.535.9%

Home & No BTTS33.3%

Home & BTTS25.0%

Home & Under 2.522.5%

Draw & Under 2.517.4%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.9%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Away & Over 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS9.8%

Away & BTTS9.0%

Away & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.8%

HT Under 1.565.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Home Win42.5%

HT Draw40.0%

HT/FT Home/Home36.9%

HT Over 1.534.8%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.2%

Equal Goals Each Half25.4%

HT Both Teams Score18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.7%

HT Away Win17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.0%

HT/FT Away/Away10.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners85.6%

Over 9.5 Corners77.2%

Away Over 4.5 Corners75.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners69.2%

Over 10.5 Corners67.0%

Over 11.5 Corners55.7%

Away Most Corners49.9%

Under 11.5 Corners44.3%

Home Most Corners38.6%

Under 10.5 Corners33.0%

Under 9.5 Corners22.8%

Under 8.5 Corners14.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards94.6%

Under 4.5 Cards86.8%

Under 3.5 Cards72.1%

Under 2.5 Cards50.2%

Over 2.5 Cards49.8%

Over 3.5 Cards27.9%

Over 4.5 Cards13.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards10.7%

Over 5.5 Cards5.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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