Mexico · Liga MX

Club America vs Puebla

● LIVE 45' · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Club America 67.8% Draw 15.2% Puebla 17.0%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club America: 14 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.97 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Club America

W W W D W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 13:5 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Puebla

W W D L W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.4

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club America win67.8%

Draw15.2%

Puebla win17.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.1%

Over 2.5 goals89.5%

Over 3.5 goals76.7%

Both teams to score81.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.1%

HT Over 0.5

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.6%

Goal in Both Halves85.6%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Home or Draw (1X)81.8%

Draw No Bet - Home79.6%

Home Win67.6%

Draw or Away (X2)31.5%

Draw No Bet - Away20.4%

Away Win17.3%

Draw14.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals88.7%

Over 3.5 Goals76.0%

4+ Goals76.0%

Over 4.5 Goals59.5%

Under 5.5 Goals58.0%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals42.0%

Under 4.5 Goals40.5%

2-4 Goals36.4%

3-4 Goals29.2%

Under 3.5 Goals24.0%

1-3 Goals22.5%

2-3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 3 Goals12.6%

Under 2.5 Goals11.3%

1-2 Goals9.9%

Exactly 2 Goals7.2%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score83.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.6%

Home Clean Sheet16.0%

Home Win to Nil15.5%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.584.8%

Away Over 0.583.1%

Home Over 2.565.8%

Home 3+ Goals65.8%

Away Over 1.553.9%

Away Exactly 129.2%

Away Over 2.527.3%

Away 3+ Goals27.3%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 219.0%

Away Exactly 016.0%

Home Exactly 111.1%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.9%

Home to win by 3+32.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 117.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 217.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 19.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 24.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.1%

Away to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.1%

Home & Over 2.562.7%

Home & BTTS52.1%

Away & Over 2.515.5%

Home & No BTTS15.5%

Away & BTTS14.6%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Home & Under 2.54.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & No BTTS2.7%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.6%

HT Over 1.568.4%

HT Home Win54.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.1%

HT/FT Home/Home48.1%

HT Both Teams Score44.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.531.6%

HT Draw25.6%

HT Away Win19.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT/FT Away/Away10.1%

HT Under 0.59.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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