Mexico · Liga MX

Club America vs Santos Laguna

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Aug 3

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

89% confidence

Club America 70.0% Draw 15.0% Santos Laguna 15.0%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

80%

Home or Draw (1X)

Santos Laguna poor form

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Club America has a significant form gap over Santos Laguna. Henry Martin's injury may impact Club America's attack. Santos Laguna's poor form and Club America's strong home record suggest a home win. However, Santos Laguna may still score. With Club America's strong attack and Santos Laguna's ability to score, Over 2.5 Goals is a strong pick. 5 Goals is the best bet due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 88.5% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

88.5%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Club America high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Santos Laguna high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Club America

D W D L

Form 1-2-1 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.75

Santos Laguna

L L

Form 0-0-2 Goals 2:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club America win70.0%

Draw15.0%

Santos Laguna win15.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.0%

Over 2.5 goals88.5%

Over 3.5 goals76.0%

Both teams to score79.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.8%

HT Over 0.5

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Both Halves Over 0.585.2%

Goal in Both Halves85.2%

Home or Draw (1X)83.0%

Draw No Bet - Home81.1%

Home Win69.1%

Draw or Away (X2)30.0%

Draw No Bet - Away18.9%

Away Win16.1%

Draw13.9%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals88.2%

Over 3.5 Goals75.3%

4+ Goals75.3%

Under 5.5 Goals59.0%

Over 4.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals41.5%

Over 5.5 Goals41.0%

2-4 Goals37.2%

3-4 Goals29.7%

Under 3.5 Goals24.7%

1-3 Goals23.3%

2-3 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals12.9%

Under 2.5 Goals11.8%

1-2 Goals10.3%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score81.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.8%

Home Clean Sheet17.2%

Home Win to Nil16.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Away Over 0.581.9%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 1.551.7%

Away Exactly 130.1%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Away Over 2.525.4%

Away 3+ Goals25.4%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 017.2%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.1%

Home to win by 3+34.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home19.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 217.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 18.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 24.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.9%

Home & Over 2.563.9%

Home & BTTS52.4%

Home & No BTTS16.7%

Away & Over 2.514.3%

Away & BTTS13.5%

Draw & BTTS13.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.4%

HT Over 1.567.8%

HT Home Win55.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT/FT Home/Home49.4%

HT Both Teams Score43.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.2%

HT Draw25.5%

HT Away Win19.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.1%

HT Under 0.59.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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