UEFA Champions League

Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa

Kick-off 17:45 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

95% confidence

Club Brugge KV 95.0% Draw 4.0% Aston Villa 1.0%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

95%

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 11.2%, based on the goal model.

Strongest 1X2 probability

Recent form leans to Club Brugge KV: 13 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.2%

Exact-score model probability

Club Brugge KV

L W W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Aston Villa

D L L W W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Brugge KV win95.0%

Draw4.0%

Aston Villa win1.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.1%

Over 2.5 goals87.2%

Over 3.5 goals72.7%

Both teams to score40.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

92.0%

Home Win

91.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.7%

Home or Draw (1X)94.8%

Home or Away (12)92.6%

Home Win91.4%

Both Halves Over 0.583.9%

Goal in Both Halves83.9%

Draw or Away (X2)4.6%

Draw3.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.3%

Draw No Bet - Away1.3%

Away Win1.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Over 1.5 Goals92.0%

Over 2.5 Goals83.7%

Over 3.5 Goals69.8%

4+ Goals69.8%

Under 5.5 Goals65.2%

Over 4.5 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Under 4.5 Goals47.7%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

2-4 Goals39.7%

Over 5.5 Goals34.8%

3-4 Goals31.4%

Under 3.5 Goals30.2%

1-3 Goals25.5%

2-3 Goals22.2%

Under 2.5 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals13.9%

1-2 Goals11.6%

Exactly 2 Goals8.3%

Under 1.5 Goals8.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)61.3%

Home Clean Sheet56.8%

Home Win to Nil56.2%

Away Team to Score39.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)38.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 056.8%

Away Over 0.539.1%

Away Exactly 129.8%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 1.59.4%

Away Exactly 27.8%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Over 2.51.6%

Away 3+ Goals1.6%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)91.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home83.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)76.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home69.6%

Home to win by 3+69.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away61.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)52.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home52.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)43.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away43.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home34.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away26.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home19.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.7%

Home to win by 213.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away12.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.1%

Home to win by 18.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away4.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 10.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 20.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.8%

Home & No BTTS56.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.546.6%

BTTS & Over 2.537.1%

Home & BTTS35.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

Home & Under 2.59.6%

Draw & BTTS2.7%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Away & Over 2.50.7%

Away & BTTS0.7%

Away & No BTTS0.5%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.5%

HT Home Win80.5%

HT/FT Home/Home79.5%

HT Over 1.566.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Under 1.534.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT Draw16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT Under 0.510.5%

HT Away Win3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.8%

HT/FT Away/Away0.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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