Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Club Brugge KV vs Cercle Brugge

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Club Brugge KV 79.4% Draw 12.6% Cercle Brugge 7.4%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 10.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Club Brugge KV: 16 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.4%

Exact-score model probability

Club Brugge KV

W W W D W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 20:2 Scored/game 3.33 Conceded/game 0.33

Cercle Brugge

D D L L W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:14 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 5

Club Brugge KV 4wins ·1 draws ·Cercle Brugge 0wins

Club Brugge KV 2-1 Cercle BruggeFeb 15, 2026

Club Brugge KV 2-0 Cercle BruggeAug 9, 2025

Club Brugge KV 3-1 Cercle BruggeMar 9, 2025

Club Brugge KV 3-0 Cercle BruggeSep 1, 2024

Club Brugge KV 0-0 Cercle BruggeMay 26, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Brugge KV win79.4%

Draw12.6%

Cercle Brugge win7.4%

Over 1.5 goals92.0%

Over 2.5 goals89.7%

Over 3.5 goals59.5%

Both teams to score56.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Home or Away (12)

91.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.7%

Home or Draw (1X)95.0%

Home or Away (12)91.0%

Home Win87.0%

Both Halves Over 0.577.4%

Goal in Both Halves77.4%

Draw or Away (X2)11.8%

Draw7.9%

Exactly 1 Goal5.9%

Draw No Bet - Away4.3%

Away Win3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals79.0%

Under 5.5 Goals75.0%

Over 3.5 Goals61.0%

4+ Goals61.0%

Under 4.5 Goals58.4%

2-4 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

Over 4.5 Goals41.6%

Under 3.5 Goals39.0%

3-4 Goals37.4%

1-3 Goals36.6%

2-3 Goals30.7%

Over 5.5 Goals25.0%

Under 2.5 Goals21.0%

1-2 Goals18.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.0%

Exactly 2 Goals12.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score50.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.4%

Home Clean Sheet48.1%

Home Win to Nil46.7%

Away Clean Sheet2.8%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.0%

Home Over 2.568.0%

Home 3+ Goals68.0%

Away Over 0.550.8%

Away Exactly 048.1%

Away Exactly 134.7%

Home Exactly 218.0%

Away Over 1.516.1%

Away Exactly 212.5%

Home Exactly 110.1%

Away Over 2.53.6%

Away 3+ Goals3.6%

Home Exactly 02.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away79.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home72.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away64.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home53.4%

Home to win by 3+53.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away45.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home34.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away26.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 219.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.6%

Home to win by 114.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home9.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 12.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 20.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.573.4%

Home & No BTTS46.7%

BTTS & Over 2.545.8%

Home & BTTS40.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.533.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.4%

Home & Under 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS6.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Away & Over 2.52.6%

Away & BTTS2.5%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.5%

HT Home Win69.8%

HT/FT Home/Home67.6%

HT Over 1.557.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

HT Under 1.542.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw23.1%

HT Both Teams Score22.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.4%

HT Under 0.514.5%

HT Away Win7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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