Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Club Brugge KV vs Genk

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

Club Brugge KV 66.1% Draw 20.0% Genk 13.8%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 42%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Club Brugge KV: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.2%

Exact-score model probability

Club Brugge KV

L L W W W D

Form 3-1-2 Goals 16:7 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Genk

W L D W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Club Brugge KV 5wins ·0 draws ·Genk 0wins

Club Brugge KV 5-3 GenkDec 26, 2025

Club Brugge KV 2-1 GenkJul 27, 2025

Club Brugge KV 2-0 GenkMay 11, 2025

Club Brugge KV 1-0 GenkApr 13, 2025

Club Brugge KV 2-0 GenkDec 15, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Brugge KV win66.1%

Draw20.0%

Genk win13.8%

Over 1.5 goals84.6%

Over 2.5 goals67.3%

Over 3.5 goals41.5%

Both teams to score41.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.6%

Draw No Bet - Home90.4%

Home or Away (12)86.0%

Home Win77.8%

Both Halves Over 0.567.5%

Goal in Both Halves67.5%

Draw or Away (X2)22.0%

Draw13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal10.7%

Draw No Bet - Away9.6%

Away Win8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.2%

Over 1.5 Goals86.0%

Under 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 2.5 Goals67.4%

2-4 Goals59.1%

Under 3.5 Goals54.2%

1-3 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals45.8%

4+ Goals45.8%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals32.6%

1-2 Goals29.3%

Over 4.5 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.6%

Under 1.5 Goals14.0%

Over 5.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.1%

Away Team to Score54.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.6%

Home Clean Sheet45.8%

Home Win to Nil42.8%

Away Clean Sheet6.7%

Away Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.575.0%

Away Over 0.554.0%

Home Over 2.550.6%

Home 3+ Goals50.6%

Away Exactly 045.8%

Away Exactly 135.7%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Away Over 1.518.3%

Home Exactly 118.1%

Away Exactly 213.9%

Home Exactly 06.7%

Away Over 2.54.4%

Away 3+ Goals4.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)42.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away42.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.5%

Home to win by 3+35.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away22.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 221.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 120.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.0%

Away to win by 16.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%

Away to win by 21.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.558.2%

BTTS & Over 2.543.9%

Home & No BTTS42.8%

Home & BTTS35.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.5%

Home & Under 2.519.5%

Draw & BTTS10.8%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & Over 2.54.9%

Away & BTTS4.6%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Away & No BTTS3.6%

Away & Under 2.53.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.1%

HT Home Win58.6%

HT/FT Home/Home55.0%

HT Under 1.553.5%

HT Over 1.546.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.9%

HT Both Teams Score20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.6%

HT Away Win10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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