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Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Club Brugge KV vs Kortrijk

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Aug 7
📊 Our Prediction
Home +5.5 (Handicap)
85% confidence
Club Brugge KV 84.8% Draw 10.5% Kortrijk 4.1%
Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 73%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
AI verdict (fallback)
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
94%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
1X · Home or Draw covers 95.3% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 4.7% on the only losing outcome.
AI verdict (fallback)
Recent form leans to Club Brugge KV: 16 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.17 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)
1X · Home or Draw
95.3%
Two outcomes covered by the model
Loss probability
4.7%
Only the uncovered result loses
Club Brugge KV
W D W W W W
Form 5-1-0 Goals 19:3 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.5
Kortrijk
D W L W W D
Form 3-2-1 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33
Head to head · last 5
Club Brugge KV 1wins ·2 draws ·Kortrijk 2wins
Club Brugge KV 1-1 KortrijkJan 25, 2025
Club Brugge KV 3-0 KortrijkSep 14, 2024
Club Brugge KV 3-3 KortrijkJan 30, 2024
Club Brugge KV 0-1 KortrijkOct 21, 2023
Club Brugge KV 0-1 KortrijkMar 18, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Brugge KV win84.8%
Draw10.5%
Kortrijk win4.1%
Over 1.5 goals89.7%
Over 2.5 goals92.7%
Over 3.5 goals53.4%
Both teams to score73.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)
89.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)
89.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home
89.1%
Match Result (11)
Home or Draw (1X)89.1%
Draw No Bet - Home88.6%
Home or Away (12)87.2%
Both Halves Over 0.581.5%
Goal in Both Halves81.5%
Home Win77.3%
Draw or Away (X2)21.8%
Draw11.9%
Draw No Bet - Away11.4%
Away Win10.0%
Exactly 1 Goal4.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals98.2%
Over 1.5 Goals94.0%
Over 2.5 Goals84.1%
Over 3.5 Goals68.5%
4+ Goals68.5%
Under 5.5 Goals67.3%
Over 4.5 Goals50.1%
Under 4.5 Goals49.9%
Total Goals Even49.6%
Total Goals Odd49.5%
2-4 Goals43.9%
3-4 Goals34.0%
Over 5.5 Goals32.7%
Under 3.5 Goals31.5%
1-3 Goals29.7%
2-3 Goals25.5%
Under 2.5 Goals15.9%
Exactly 3 Goals15.6%
1-2 Goals14.1%
Exactly 2 Goals9.9%
Under 1.5 Goals6.0%
Under 0.5 Goals1.8%
Exactly 0 Goals0.9%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score95.9%
Away Team to Score71.4%
Both Teams Score (GG)69.1%
No Both Teams Score (NG)30.9%
Home Clean Sheet27.7%
Home Win to Nil26.8%
Away Clean Sheet3.2%
Away Win to Nil2.3%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.595.9%
Home Over 1.585.0%
Away Over 0.571.4%
Home Over 2.566.1%
Home 3+ Goals66.1%
Away Over 1.536.1%
Away Exactly 135.3%
Away Exactly 027.7%
Away Exactly 222.5%
Home Exactly 218.9%
Away Over 2.513.6%
Away 3+ Goals13.6%
Home Exactly 111.0%
Home Exactly 03.2%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.4%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.3%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.1%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.1%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)77.3%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.1%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.3%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)57.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away57.6%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.5%
Home to win by 3+41.5%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.8%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.0%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.8%
Home to win by 218.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%
Home to win by 117.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.5%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.9%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.3%
Away to win by 16.3%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.8%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.6%
Away to win by 22.6%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%
Away to win by 3+1.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
Home & Over 2.568.9%
BTTS & Over 2.565.2%
Home & BTTS50.4%
Home & No BTTS26.8%
No BTTS & Over 2.518.9%
No BTTS & Under 2.511.1%
Draw & BTTS11.0%
Home & Under 2.58.3%
Away & Over 2.58.1%
Away & BTTS7.7%
Draw & Over 2.57.1%
Draw & Under 2.54.8%
BTTS & Under 2.53.9%
Away & No BTTS2.3%
Away & Under 2.51.9%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.588.1%
HT Over 1.562.7%
HT Home Win61.3%
HT/FT Home/Home56.9%
2nd Half More Goals49.1%
HT Under 1.537.3%
HT Both Teams Score34.4%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Draw25.2%
Equal Goals Each Half18.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%
HT Away Win13.5%
HT Under 0.511.9%
HT/FT Away/Away5.6%
HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%
HT/FT Away/Home4.7%
HT/FT Draw/Away3.3%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%
HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Club Brugge KV win50%
Draw50%
Kortrijk win0%
AdviceDouble chance : Club Brugge KV or draw
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
← All predictions
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