Mexico · Liga MX

Club Queretaro vs Cruz Azul

● LIVE 47' · 1:3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Club Queretaro 40.0% Draw 19.5% Cruz Azul 40.5%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cruz Azul: 8 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Club Queretaro

L D W W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Cruz Azul

W D L W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:8 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Queretaro win40.0%

Draw19.5%

Cruz Azul win40.5%

Over 1.5 goals96.5%

Over 2.5 goals87.5%

Over 3.5 goals73.4%

Both teams to score84.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.6%

Away Over 0.5

91.6%

Home Team to Score

91.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.7%

Goal in Both Halves83.7%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Draw or Away (X2)59.4%

Home or Draw (1X)58.8%

Draw No Bet - Away50.4%

Draw No Bet - Home49.6%

Away Win41.0%

Home Win40.4%

Draw18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals87.3%

Over 3.5 Goals73.3%

4+ Goals73.3%

Under 5.5 Goals61.8%

Over 4.5 Goals55.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals44.3%

2-4 Goals40.0%

Over 5.5 Goals38.2%

3-4 Goals31.6%

Under 3.5 Goals26.7%

1-3 Goals25.8%

2-3 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.0%

Under 2.5 Goals12.7%

1-2 Goals11.8%

Exactly 2 Goals8.4%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.6%

Home Team to Score91.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.0%

Away Clean Sheet8.3%

Home Clean Sheet8.1%

Away Win to Nil7.6%

Home Win to Nil7.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.6%

Home Over 0.591.5%

Away Over 1.571.2%

Home Over 1.570.9%

Away Over 2.545.7%

Away 3+ Goals45.7%

Home Over 2.545.2%

Home 3+ Goals45.2%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 120.6%

Away Exactly 120.4%

Home Exactly 08.3%

Away Exactly 08.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 116.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.7%

Away to win by 3+12.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.4%

Home to win by 3+12.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 211.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.8%

Away & Over 2.537.2%

Home & Over 2.536.6%

Away & BTTS33.4%

Home & BTTS33.0%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Away & No BTTS7.6%

Home & No BTTS7.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Home & Under 2.53.8%

Away & Under 2.53.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.5%

HT Over 1.565.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Both Teams Score45.6%

HT Away Win35.8%

HT Home Win35.4%

HT Under 1.534.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.7%

HT/FT Away/Away26.0%

HT/FT Home/Home25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.6%

HT Under 0.510.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners77.6%

Away Most Corners75.1%

Over 8.5 Corners70.3%

Under 11.5 Corners65.8%

Over 9.5 Corners58.3%

Under 10.5 Corners54.1%

Over 10.5 Corners45.9%

Under 9.5 Corners41.7%

Over 11.5 Corners34.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Under 8.5 Corners29.7%

Home Most Corners15.9%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards82.6%

Under 5.5 Cards70.3%

Over 3.5 Cards65.8%

Under 4.5 Cards53.2%

Over 4.5 Cards46.8%

Under 3.5 Cards34.2%

Over 5.5 Cards29.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.0%

Under 2.5 Cards17.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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