Mexico · Liga MX

Club Queretaro vs Monterrey

Kick-off 00:00 · Sun, Nov 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Club Queretaro 43.1% Draw 19.0% Monterrey 37.9%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Monterrey: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Club Queretaro

L L L L D W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

Monterrey

L D L W W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Queretaro win43.1%

Draw19.0%

Monterrey win37.9%

Over 1.5 goals97.0%

Over 2.5 goals89.0%

Over 3.5 goals76.0%

Both teams to score86.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.7%

Away Over 0.5

91.7%

HT Over 0.5

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.1%

Goal in Both Halves85.1%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Home or Draw (1X)61.4%

Draw or Away (X2)56.2%

Draw No Bet - Home53.2%

Draw No Bet - Away46.8%

Home Win43.5%

Away Win38.3%

Draw18.0%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals88.8%

Over 3.5 Goals75.8%

4+ Goals75.8%

Over 4.5 Goals59.0%

Under 5.5 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals41.5%

Under 4.5 Goals41.0%

2-4 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals29.8%

Under 3.5 Goals24.2%

1-3 Goals23.3%

2-3 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals13.0%

Under 2.5 Goals11.2%

1-2 Goals10.4%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.8%

Away Team to Score91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)14.7%

Home Clean Sheet8.0%

Home Win to Nil7.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.9%

Away Win to Nil6.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.8%

Away Over 0.591.7%

Home Over 1.574.4%

Away Over 1.571.4%

Home Over 2.549.7%

Home 3+ Goals49.7%

Away Over 2.545.9%

Away 3+ Goals45.9%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 120.2%

Home Exactly 118.4%

Away Exactly 08.0%

Home Exactly 06.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.4%

Home to win by 3+14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 212.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.6%

Away to win by 3+11.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.1%

Away to win by 211.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.6%

Home & Over 2.540.0%

Home & BTTS36.0%

Away & Over 2.535.1%

Away & BTTS32.0%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Home & No BTTS7.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Away & No BTTS6.3%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Home & Under 2.53.5%

Away & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.3%

HT Over 1.567.8%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score47.5%

HT Home Win37.6%

HT Away Win34.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.2%

HT Draw28.1%

HT/FT Home/Home28.0%

HT/FT Away/Away24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.0%

HT Under 0.59.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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