Mexico · Liga MX

Club Queretaro vs Tigres UANL

Full time · 3:2

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Club Queretaro 54.5% Draw 21.8% Tigres UANL 23.7%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 71%

✓ Pick was correct (3:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 76.3% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 23.7% on the only losing outcome.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

76.3%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

23.7%

Only the uncovered result loses

Club Queretaro

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Tigres UANL

D L L W

Form 1-1-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Queretaro win54.5%

Draw21.8%

Tigres UANL win23.7%

Over 1.5 goals90.3%

Over 2.5 goals73.1%

Over 3.5 goals52.6%

Both teams to score70.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.8%

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Home or Draw (1X)75.3%

Both Halves Over 0.571.8%

Goal in Both Halves71.8%

Draw No Bet - Home69.3%

Home Win55.5%

Draw or Away (X2)44.4%

Draw No Bet - Away30.7%

Away Win24.6%

Draw19.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.2%

Under 5.5 Goals81.6%

Over 2.5 Goals73.0%

Under 4.5 Goals66.9%

2-4 Goals56.0%

Over 3.5 Goals52.6%

4+ Goals52.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.4%

1-3 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.6%

Over 4.5 Goals33.1%

Under 2.5 Goals27.0%

1-2 Goals24.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals18.4%

Exactly 2 Goals16.2%

Under 1.5 Goals10.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score77.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.2%

Home Clean Sheet22.3%

Home Win to Nil20.1%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil7.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.577.6%

Home Over 1.566.8%

Away Over 1.544.2%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Exactly 133.4%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Exactly 022.3%

Away Over 2.519.1%

Away 3+ Goals19.1%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)34.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home34.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 120.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.2%

Home to win by 3+18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.0%

Away to win by 27.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.0%

Away to win by 3+4.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.1%

Home & Over 2.544.4%

Home & BTTS35.4%

Home & No BTTS20.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.2%

Away & Over 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Away & BTTS16.8%

Home & Under 2.511.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

Away & No BTTS7.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Away & Under 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.9%

HT Over 1.551.0%

HT Under 1.549.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

HT Home Win43.4%

HT/FT Home/Home36.1%

HT Draw33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score31.6%

HT Away Win23.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT Under 0.518.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT/FT Away/Away14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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