Mexico · Liga MX

Club Tijuana vs Atlas

Kick-off 04:00 · Sat, Sep 26

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Club Tijuana 72.5% Draw 16.5% Atlas 11.0%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club Tijuana: 8 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.7%

Exact-score model probability

Club Tijuana

D L W L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Atlas

L D L W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Tijuana win72.5%

Draw16.5%

Atlas win11.0%

Over 1.5 goals90.6%

Over 2.5 goals74.1%

Over 3.5 goals53.9%

Both teams to score62.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.1%

Draw No Bet - Home86.2%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Home Win73.2%

Both Halves Over 0.572.6%

Goal in Both Halves72.6%

Draw or Away (X2)26.6%

Draw14.9%

Draw No Bet - Away13.8%

Away Win11.7%

Exactly 1 Goal8.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.6%

Under 5.5 Goals80.8%

Over 2.5 Goals73.9%

Under 4.5 Goals65.7%

2-4 Goals55.3%

Over 3.5 Goals53.8%

4+ Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals46.2%

1-3 Goals43.9%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals35.8%

Over 4.5 Goals34.3%

Under 2.5 Goals26.1%

1-2 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals10.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.7%

Away Team to Score65.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.6%

Home Clean Sheet34.4%

Home Win to Nil32.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.1%

Away Win to Nil4.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.7%

Home Over 1.576.7%

Away Over 0.565.4%

Home Over 2.552.8%

Home 3+ Goals52.8%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 034.4%

Away Over 1.528.8%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 219.5%

Home Exactly 117.0%

Away Over 2.59.3%

Away 3+ Goals9.3%

Home Exactly 06.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away82.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.8%

Home to win by 3+32.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.2%

Home to win by 120.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.7%

Away to win by 17.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 22.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.559.1%

BTTS & Over 2.555.2%

Home & BTTS40.9%

Home & No BTTS32.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.8%

Home & Under 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS12.8%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

Away & Over 2.58.3%

Away & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Away & No BTTS4.0%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.4%

HT Home Win56.0%

HT Over 1.551.9%

HT/FT Home/Home51.3%

HT Under 1.548.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw29.9%

HT Both Teams Score27.3%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.1%

HT Under 0.517.6%

HT Away Win14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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