Mexico · Liga MX

Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro

Kick-off 04:10 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Club Tijuana 53.2% Draw 27.7% Club Queretaro 19.1%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club Tijuana: 13 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

Club Tijuana

W L W D W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Club Queretaro

W L D W W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Tijuana win53.2%

Draw27.7%

Club Queretaro win19.1%

Over 1.5 goals73.5%

Over 2.5 goals46.5%

Over 3.5 goals25.0%

Both teams to score49.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

88.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)79.3%

Home or Away (12)75.4%

Draw No Bet - Home72.6%

Home Win54.7%

Both Halves Over 0.551.2%

Goal in Both Halves51.2%

Draw or Away (X2)45.3%

Draw No Bet - Away27.4%

Draw24.6%

Away Win20.7%

Exactly 1 Goal20.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.6%

Over 0.5 Goals92.1%

Under 4.5 Goals88.6%

Under 3.5 Goals75.0%

Over 1.5 Goals72.0%

1-3 Goals67.1%

2-4 Goals60.6%

Under 2.5 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals35.2%

Under 1.5 Goals28.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.5%

Over 3.5 Goals25.0%

4+ Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.4%

Under 0.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 0 Goals7.9%

Over 5.5 Goals4.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.5%

Away Team to Score59.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.8%

Home Clean Sheet40.7%

Home Win to Nil32.7%

Away Clean Sheet19.5%

Away Win to Nil11.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.5%

Away Over 0.559.3%

Home Over 1.548.7%

Away Exactly 040.7%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 131.9%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 1.522.8%

Home Over 2.522.6%

Home 3+ Goals22.6%

Home Exactly 019.5%

Away Exactly 216.5%

Away Over 2.56.3%

Away 3+ Goals6.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.1%

Home to win by 125.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.7%

Home to win by 3+12.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.7%

Away to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.8%

BTTS & Over 2.536.1%

Home & No BTTS32.7%

Home & Over 2.531.2%

Home & Under 2.523.6%

Home & BTTS22.0%

Draw & Under 2.519.6%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

Away & No BTTS11.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

Away & Over 2.510.3%

Away & Under 2.510.3%

Away & BTTS9.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.4%

HT Over 0.568.1%

2nd Half More Goals42.7%

HT Draw42.2%

HT Home Win39.5%

HT/FT Home/Home33.8%

HT Under 0.531.9%

HT Over 1.531.6%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.4%

HT Away Win18.3%

HT Both Teams Score17.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.7%

HT/FT Away/Away11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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