Mexico · Liga MX

Club Tijuana vs Cruz Azul

● LIVE 45' · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Club Tijuana 69.3% Draw 20.4% Cruz Azul 10.3%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Cruz Azul: 7 points versus 13 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Club Tijuana

D W W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 4:1 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.33

Cruz Azul

L W W W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Tijuana win69.3%

Draw20.4%

Cruz Azul win10.3%

Over 1.5 goals80.4%

Over 2.5 goals56.5%

Over 3.5 goals34.1%

Both teams to score48.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

88.9%

Home Over 0.5

88.9%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.6%

Draw No Bet - Home86.1%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Home Win70.4%

Both Halves Over 0.559.0%

Goal in Both Halves59.0%

Draw or Away (X2)29.6%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal15.4%

Draw No Bet - Away13.9%

Away Win11.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.7%

Under 5.5 Goals92.2%

Under 4.5 Goals82.4%

Over 1.5 Goals79.3%

Under 3.5 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.7%

1-3 Goals60.6%

Over 2.5 Goals56.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.2%

Under 2.5 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals38.9%

1-2 Goals38.2%

Over 3.5 Goals34.1%

4+ Goals34.1%

Exactly 2 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.7%

Over 4.5 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals5.3%

Exactly 0 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.0%

Away Team to Score52.8%

Home Clean Sheet47.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.0%

Home Win to Nil41.9%

Away Clean Sheet11.1%

Away Win to Nil5.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.9%

Home Over 1.564.4%

Away Over 0.552.8%

Away Exactly 047.1%

Home Over 2.537.6%

Home 3+ Goals37.6%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.4%

Away Over 1.517.4%

Away Exactly 213.3%

Home Exactly 011.1%

Away Over 2.54.1%

Away 3+ Goals4.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away74.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.2%

Home to win by 3+25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.0%

Home to win by 124.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.2%

Home to win by 221.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 18.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.546.3%

Home & No BTTS41.9%

BTTS & Over 2.538.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.534.8%

Home & BTTS28.5%

Home & Under 2.524.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.2%

Draw & Under 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS13.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Away & Over 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS5.9%

Away & BTTS5.5%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.5%

HT Under 1.561.7%

HT Home Win51.4%

HT/FT Home/Home47.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.4%

HT Over 1.538.3%

HT Draw36.2%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.5%

Equal Goals Each Half24.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.4%

HT Both Teams Score18.0%

HT Away Win12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

HT/FT Away/Away6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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