Mexico · Liga MX

Club Tijuana vs Santos Laguna

Kick-off 04:10 · Mon, Oct 26

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Club Tijuana 77.5% Draw 15.7% Santos Laguna 6.8%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Club Tijuana: 11 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.4%

Exact-score model probability

Club Tijuana

W D W D L W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Santos Laguna

W W W L D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Tijuana win77.5%

Draw15.7%

Santos Laguna win6.8%

Over 1.5 goals85.2%

Over 2.5 goals64.4%

Over 3.5 goals42.4%

Both teams to score47.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.8%

Draw No Bet - Home

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.2%

Draw No Bet - Home91.1%

Home or Away (12)85.9%

Home Win78.3%

Both Halves Over 0.565.1%

Goal in Both Halves65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)21.6%

Draw14.0%

Exactly 1 Goal12.0%

Draw No Bet - Away8.9%

Away Win7.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.2%

Under 5.5 Goals88.2%

Over 1.5 Goals84.2%

Under 4.5 Goals76.0%

Over 2.5 Goals64.3%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.7%

1-3 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals42.3%

4+ Goals42.3%

2-3 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.7%

1-2 Goals31.9%

Over 4.5 Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.9%

Under 1.5 Goals15.8%

Over 5.5 Goals11.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.8%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.4%

Away Team to Score50.3%

Home Clean Sheet49.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.6%

Home Win to Nil46.0%

Away Clean Sheet7.3%

Away Win to Nil3.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 1.573.5%

Away Over 0.550.3%

Away Exactly 049.6%

Home Over 2.548.6%

Home 3+ Goals48.6%

Away Exactly 134.7%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 119.1%

Away Over 1.515.6%

Away Exactly 212.1%

Home Exactly 07.3%

Away Over 2.53.4%

Away 3+ Goals3.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)57.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home57.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)42.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away42.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.1%

Home to win by 3+35.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.0%

Home to win by 222.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.2%

Home to win by 121.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 15.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 21.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.556.4%

Home & No BTTS46.0%

BTTS & Over 2.540.0%

Home & BTTS32.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.524.4%

Home & Under 2.521.9%

Draw & BTTS10.4%

Draw & Under 2.510.2%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Away & Over 2.54.2%

Away & BTTS4.0%

Draw & Over 2.53.7%

Away & No BTTS3.7%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.6%

HT Home Win58.6%

HT Under 1.556.0%

HT/FT Home/Home55.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.544.0%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Draw31.6%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.2%

HT Both Teams Score18.7%

HT Away Win9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.3%

HT/FT Away/Away4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners86.8%

Over 8.5 Corners86.6%

Over 9.5 Corners78.6%

Away Most Corners73.2%

Over 10.5 Corners68.7%

Over 11.5 Corners57.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners53.0%

Under 11.5 Corners42.4%

Under 10.5 Corners31.3%

Under 9.5 Corners21.4%

Home Most Corners18.1%

Under 8.5 Corners13.4%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards89.8%

Under 4.5 Cards78.7%

Over 2.5 Cards61.3%

Under 3.5 Cards61.0%

Over 3.5 Cards39.0%

Under 2.5 Cards38.7%

Over 4.5 Cards21.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards12.7%

Over 5.5 Cards10.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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