Mexico · Liga MX

Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Kick-off 04:10 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Club Tijuana 49.5% Draw 27.0% U.N.A.M. - Pumas 23.5%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club Tijuana: 10 points versus 8 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.70 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.4%

Exact-score model probability

Club Tijuana

L W D W W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 0.8

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

D D W W L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Club Tijuana win49.5%

Draw27.0%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas win23.5%

Over 1.5 goals78.6%

Over 2.5 goals53.4%

Over 3.5 goals31.1%

Both teams to score56.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.0%

Home or Draw (1X)75.0%

Draw No Bet - Home67.1%

Both Halves Over 0.556.5%

Goal in Both Halves56.5%

Home Win50.9%

Draw or Away (X2)49.0%

Draw No Bet - Away32.9%

Away Win25.0%

Draw24.0%

Exactly 1 Goal16.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.0%

Under 5.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals84.6%

Over 1.5 Goals77.1%

Under 3.5 Goals68.9%

1-3 Goals62.9%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.6%

2-3 Goals46.0%

1-2 Goals40.6%

3-4 Goals37.9%

Over 3.5 Goals31.1%

4+ Goals31.1%

Exactly 2 Goals23.7%

Under 1.5 Goals22.9%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.6%

Under 0.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 0 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.7%

Away Team to Score67.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.1%

Home Clean Sheet32.8%

Home Win to Nil26.8%

Away Clean Sheet18.3%

Away Win to Nil12.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.7%

Away Over 0.567.2%

Home Over 1.550.6%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 032.8%

Home Exactly 131.1%

Away Over 1.530.7%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Over 2.524.2%

Home 3+ Goals24.2%

Away Exactly 220.4%

Home Exactly 018.3%

Away Over 2.510.3%

Away 3+ Goals10.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.4%

Home to win by 123.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 215.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 115.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.0%

Home to win by 3+12.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.7%

Away to win by 26.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.543.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.3%

Home & Over 2.532.1%

Home & No BTTS26.8%

Home & BTTS24.2%

Home & Under 2.518.8%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Draw & Under 2.517.4%

Away & Over 2.514.6%

Away & BTTS12.7%

Away & No BTTS12.3%

BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Away & Under 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.8%

HT Under 1.563.9%

2nd Half More Goals43.9%

HT Draw40.1%

HT Home Win38.1%

HT Over 1.536.1%

HT/FT Home/Home31.5%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.2%

Equal Goals Each Half24.9%

HT Away Win21.8%

HT Both Teams Score21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.2%

HT/FT Away/Away14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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