England · League Cup

Colchester vs Southampton

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Colchester 53.3% Draw 27.9% Southampton 18.8%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 0.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Colchester

No recent results stored yet

Southampton

W D W L L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Colchester win53.3%

Draw27.9%

Southampton win18.8%

Over 1.5 goals72.8%

Over 2.5 goals45.6%

Over 3.5 goals24.2%

Both teams to score48.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.8%

Under 4.5 Goals

89.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)79.6%

Home or Away (12)75.2%

Draw No Bet - Home72.9%

Home Win54.8%

Both Halves Over 0.550.4%

Goal in Both Halves50.4%

Draw or Away (X2)45.2%

Draw No Bet - Away27.1%

Draw24.8%

Exactly 1 Goal20.5%

Away Win20.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.8%

Over 0.5 Goals91.8%

Under 4.5 Goals89.1%

Under 3.5 Goals75.8%

Over 1.5 Goals71.2%

1-3 Goals67.6%

2-4 Goals60.4%

Under 2.5 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

1-2 Goals46.2%

Over 2.5 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals34.7%

Under 1.5 Goals28.8%

Exactly 2 Goals25.7%

Over 3.5 Goals24.2%

4+ Goals24.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Over 4.5 Goals10.9%

Under 0.5 Goals8.2%

Exactly 0 Goals8.2%

Over 5.5 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score80.2%

Away Team to Score58.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.9%

Home Clean Sheet41.5%

Home Win to Nil33.3%

Away Clean Sheet19.8%

Away Win to Nil11.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.580.2%

Away Over 0.558.5%

Home Over 1.548.1%

Away Exactly 041.5%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 132.1%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Home Over 2.522.2%

Home 3+ Goals22.2%

Away Over 1.522.0%

Home Exactly 019.8%

Away Exactly 216.1%

Away Over 2.56.0%

Away 3+ Goals6.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away45.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.3%

Home to win by 125.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 113.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.6%

Home to win by 3+12.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%

Away to win by 3+1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.542.7%

BTTS & Over 2.535.2%

Home & No BTTS33.3%

Home & Over 2.530.7%

Home & Under 2.524.1%

Home & BTTS21.5%

Draw & Under 2.519.9%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

BTTS & Under 2.511.7%

Away & No BTTS11.6%

Away & Under 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.4%

Away & Over 2.510.0%

Away & BTTS8.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.0%

HT Over 0.567.5%

2nd Half More Goals42.6%

HT Draw42.5%

HT Home Win39.4%

HT/FT Home/Home33.8%

HT Under 0.532.5%

HT Over 1.531.0%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Away Win18.0%

HT Both Teams Score16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.9%

HT/FT Away/Away11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Colchester win33%

Draw33%

Southampton win33%

AdviceNo predictions available

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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