USA · Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids vs Austin

Full time · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Colorado Rapids 70.1% Draw 20.9% Austin 9.0%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 43%

✓ Pick was correct (1:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 78%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 14.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Colorado Rapids: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.2%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

78%

Market agrees with this pick

Colorado Rapids

L W L L W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Austin

L W L L L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:16 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Colorado Rapids win70.1%

Draw20.9%

Austin win9.0%

Over 1.5 goals77.0%

Over 2.5 goals51.6%

Over 3.5 goals29.4%

Both teams to score42.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.8%

Draw No Bet - Home87.5%

Home or Away (12)81.4%

Home Win71.2%

Both Halves Over 0.555.1%

Goal in Both Halves55.1%

Draw or Away (X2)28.8%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal17.7%

Draw No Bet - Away12.5%

Away Win10.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.0%

Over 0.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals85.7%

Over 1.5 Goals75.8%

Under 3.5 Goals70.6%

1-3 Goals64.1%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.4%

2-3 Goals46.4%

1-2 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals37.3%

Over 3.5 Goals29.4%

4+ Goals29.4%

Under 1.5 Goals24.2%

Exactly 2 Goals24.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals14.3%

Under 0.5 Goals6.5%

Exactly 0 Goals6.5%

Over 5.5 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score87.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)58.4%

Home Clean Sheet52.6%

Away Team to Score47.4%

Home Win to Nil46.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)41.6%

Away Clean Sheet12.3%

Away Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.587.7%

Home Over 1.561.9%

Away Exactly 052.6%

Away Over 0.547.4%

Home Over 2.534.9%

Home 3+ Goals34.9%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.8%

Away Over 1.513.6%

Home Exactly 012.3%

Away Exactly 210.9%

Away Over 2.52.8%

Away 3+ Goals2.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.0%

Home to win by 125.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.5%

Home to win by 3+24.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 221.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.7%

Away to win by 17.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS46.1%

Home & Over 2.543.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.7%

BTTS & Over 2.532.9%

Home & Under 2.527.7%

Home & BTTS25.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.7%

Draw & Under 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Away & No BTTS5.8%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Away & Over 2.54.7%

Away & BTTS4.3%

Draw & Over 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.8%

HT Under 1.565.1%

HT Home Win51.2%

HT/FT Home/Home47.4%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT Draw37.7%

HT Over 1.534.9%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.2%

Equal Goals Each Half25.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.3%

HT Both Teams Score15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.1%

HT Away Win11.1%

HT/FT Away/Away5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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