USA · Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids vs Chicago Fire

Full time · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Colorado Rapids 68.0% Draw 14.5% Chicago Fire 17.5%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 85%

✓ Pick was correct (1:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Colorado Rapids: 8 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.7%

Exact-score model probability

Colorado Rapids

W D D D D D

Form 1-5-0 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Chicago Fire

L L W L L D

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Colorado Rapids win68.0%

Draw14.5%

Chicago Fire win17.5%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.3%

Over 3.5 goals81.8%

Both teams to score84.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.3%

Goal in Both Halves88.3%

Home or Away (12)85.0%

Home or Draw (1X)81.0%

Draw No Bet - Home79.3%

Home Win67.4%

Draw or Away (X2)31.2%

Draw No Bet - Away20.7%

Away Win17.6%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals91.0%

Over 3.5 Goals80.7%

4+ Goals80.7%

Over 4.5 Goals66.0%

Under 5.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Over 5.5 Goals49.2%

Under 4.5 Goals34.0%

2-4 Goals30.4%

3-4 Goals25.0%

Under 3.5 Goals19.3%

1-3 Goals17.6%

2-3 Goals15.7%

Exactly 3 Goals10.3%

Under 2.5 Goals9.0%

1-2 Goals7.3%

Exactly 2 Goals5.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score85.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.7%

Home Clean Sheet13.1%

Home Win to Nil12.8%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.9%

Away Over 0.585.5%

Home Over 2.569.9%

Home 3+ Goals69.9%

Away Over 1.559.0%

Away Over 2.532.3%

Away 3+ Goals32.3%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 126.5%

Home Exactly 217.0%

Away Exactly 013.1%

Home Exactly 19.2%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.1%

Home to win by 3+34.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Home to win by 216.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.0%

Away to win by 25.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.5%

Away to win by 3+3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.9%

Home & Over 2.563.9%

Home & BTTS54.6%

Away & Over 2.516.3%

Away & BTTS15.4%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Home & No BTTS12.8%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Under 2.53.5%

Draw & Under 2.52.8%

BTTS & Under 2.52.5%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.6%

HT Home Win55.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.9%

HT/FT Home/Home48.6%

HT Both Teams Score48.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.4%

HT Draw24.4%

HT Away Win20.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Away/Away10.4%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners74.3%

Home Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Under 10.5 Corners63.5%

Over 8.5 Corners61.8%

Home Most Corners61.5%

Under 9.5 Corners51.1%

Over 9.5 Corners48.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners38.7%

Under 8.5 Corners38.2%

Over 10.5 Corners36.5%

Away Most Corners26.6%

Over 11.5 Corners25.7%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards81.2%

Under 5.5 Cards72.4%

Over 3.5 Cards63.6%

Under 4.5 Cards55.6%

Over 4.5 Cards44.4%

Under 3.5 Cards36.4%

Over 5.5 Cards27.6%

Under 2.5 Cards18.8%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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