USA · Major League Soccer

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes

● LIVE 25' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Colorado Rapids 71.0% Draw 17.9% San Jose Earthquakes 11.1%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to San Jose Earthquakes: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

Colorado Rapids

D D W D L W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

San Jose Earthquakes

W W W D D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Colorado Rapids win71.0%

Draw17.9%

San Jose Earthquakes win11.1%

Over 1.5 goals88.1%

Over 2.5 goals69.3%

Over 3.5 goals47.9%

Both teams to score58.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Cards

89.2%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.8%

Draw No Bet - Home85.6%

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Home Win71.8%

Both Halves Over 0.568.8%

Goal in Both Halves68.8%

Draw or Away (X2)28.1%

Draw16.0%

Draw No Bet - Away14.4%

Away Win12.1%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.1%

Under 5.5 Goals84.9%

Under 4.5 Goals71.2%

Over 2.5 Goals69.2%

2-4 Goals58.3%

Under 3.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.2%

Over 3.5 Goals47.9%

4+ Goals47.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.2%

Under 2.5 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals28.8%

1-2 Goals27.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals15.1%

Under 1.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.4%

Away Team to Score62.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.2%

Home Clean Sheet37.3%

Home Win to Nil34.5%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil4.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 1.573.0%

Away Over 0.562.5%

Home Over 2.547.9%

Home 3+ Goals47.9%

Away Exactly 037.3%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 1.525.8%

Home Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 119.4%

Away Exactly 218.1%

Away Over 2.57.7%

Away 3+ Goals7.7%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.0%

Home to win by 3+30.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.4%

Home to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 220.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 18.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 22.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.1%

BTTS & Over 2.550.7%

Home & BTTS37.3%

Home & No BTTS34.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.5%

Home & Under 2.516.6%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.9%

Away & Over 2.58.0%

Away & BTTS7.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.1%

Away & No BTTS4.7%

Away & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.0%

HT Home Win54.2%

HT Under 1.552.2%

HT/FT Home/Home49.5%

HT Over 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw31.7%

HT Both Teams Score24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.7%

HT Away Win14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners76.1%

Under 10.5 Corners65.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Home Most Corners63.7%

Over 8.5 Corners59.8%

Under 9.5 Corners53.3%

Over 9.5 Corners46.7%

Under 8.5 Corners40.2%

Away Over 4.5 Corners35.5%

Over 10.5 Corners34.4%

Away Most Corners24.7%

Over 11.5 Corners23.9%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards89.2%

Over 3.5 Cards76.3%

Over 4.5 Cards59.5%

Under 5.5 Cards57.9%

Over 5.5 Cards42.1%

Under 4.5 Cards40.5%

Under 3.5 Cards23.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards20.8%

Under 2.5 Cards10.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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