USA · Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs CF Montreal

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Columbus Crew 78.1% Draw 11.5% CF Montreal 10.4%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Columbus Crew: 8 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Columbus Crew

L D W L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

CF Montreal

D D L L D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Columbus Crew win78.1%

Draw11.5%

CF Montreal win10.4%

Over 1.5 goals97.9%

Over 2.5 goals91.7%

Over 3.5 goals80.8%

Both teams to score79.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

92.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home88.0%

Both Halves Over 0.587.9%

Goal in Both Halves87.9%

Home or Draw (1X)87.4%

Home or Away (12)87.1%

Home Win76.7%

Draw or Away (X2)21.1%

Draw No Bet - Away12.0%

Draw10.7%

Away Win10.4%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.5%

Over 2.5 Goals89.8%

Over 3.5 Goals79.1%

4+ Goals79.1%

Over 4.5 Goals64.1%

Under 5.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Over 5.5 Goals47.1%

Under 4.5 Goals35.9%

2-4 Goals31.4%

3-4 Goals25.7%

Under 3.5 Goals20.9%

1-3 Goals18.4%

2-3 Goals16.4%

Exactly 3 Goals10.7%

Under 2.5 Goals10.2%

1-2 Goals7.7%

Exactly 2 Goals5.7%

Under 1.5 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score78.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.9%

Home Clean Sheet19.3%

Home Win to Nil19.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.7%

Away Over 0.578.5%

Home Over 2.574.1%

Home 3+ Goals74.1%

Away Over 1.547.2%

Away Exactly 131.3%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Away Over 2.521.7%

Away 3+ Goals21.7%

Away Exactly 019.3%

Home Exactly 214.6%

Home Exactly 17.3%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home61.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.6%

Home to win by 3+44.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)36.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away36.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away21.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 16.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.5%

Away to win by 3+1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.7%

Home & Over 2.572.4%

Home & BTTS57.8%

Home & No BTTS19.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS10.3%

Away & Over 2.59.4%

Away & BTTS9.0%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Home & Under 2.54.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Away & No BTTS1.5%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.0%

HT Over 1.571.9%

HT Home Win63.0%

HT/FT Home/Home58.4%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT Both Teams Score43.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.1%

HT Draw22.4%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.0%

HT Away Win14.6%

HT Under 0.58.0%

HT/FT Away/Away5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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