USA · Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Columbus Crew 32.6% Draw 17.1% Charlotte 50.3%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Charlotte: 3 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Columbus Crew

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Charlotte

D W D W W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Columbus Crew 0wins ·0 draws ·Charlotte 1wins

Columbus Crew 1-3 CharlotteAug 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Columbus Crew win32.6%

Draw17.1%

Charlotte win50.3%

Over 1.5 goals98.4%

Over 2.5 goals93.4%

Over 3.5 goals84.1%

Both teams to score89.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.5%

Goal in Both Halves

89.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.5%

Goal in Both Halves89.5%

Home or Away (12)82.8%

Draw or Away (X2)66.5%

Draw No Bet - Away60.5%

Away Win50.2%

Home or Draw (1X)49.0%

Draw No Bet - Home39.5%

Home Win32.7%

Draw16.4%

Exactly 1 Goal1.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals97.3%

Over 2.5 Goals92.7%

Over 3.5 Goals83.4%

4+ Goals83.4%

Over 4.5 Goals69.7%

Over 5.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 5.5 Goals46.6%

Under 4.5 Goals30.3%

2-4 Goals27.6%

3-4 Goals23.0%

Under 3.5 Goals16.6%

1-3 Goals15.5%

2-3 Goals13.9%

Exactly 3 Goals9.3%

Under 2.5 Goals7.3%

1-2 Goals6.3%

Exactly 2 Goals4.7%

Under 1.5 Goals2.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.3%

Home Team to Score92.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.2%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil6.5%

Home Clean Sheet3.9%

Home Win to Nil3.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 0.592.4%

Away Over 1.582.7%

Home Over 1.574.2%

Away Over 2.562.2%

Away 3+ Goals62.2%

Home Over 2.549.7%

Home 3+ Goals49.7%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 220.5%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Exactly 112.6%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Away Exactly 03.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away80.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)66.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away66.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.1%

Away to win by 3+20.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)19.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home19.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.4%

Away to win by 116.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.7%

Away to win by 213.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 113.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.8%

Home to win by 3+9.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.3%

Home to win by 29.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.5%

Away & Over 2.547.9%

Away & BTTS43.6%

Home & Over 2.531.0%

Home & BTTS29.1%

Draw & BTTS16.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.8%

Away & No BTTS6.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Home & No BTTS3.6%

Draw & Under 2.52.6%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Home & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.1%

HT Over 1.574.5%

HT Both Teams Score53.8%

2nd Half More Goals51.2%

HT Away Win43.0%

HT/FT Away/Away33.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win31.3%

HT Draw25.8%

HT Under 1.525.5%

HT/FT Home/Home20.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.2%

HT Under 0.56.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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