USA · Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Columbus Crew 54.6% Draw 24.7% Colorado Rapids 20.7%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 79.3% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 20.7% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Colorado Rapids: 4 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

79.3%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

20.7%

Only the uncovered result loses

Columbus Crew

L L L L D W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 9:14 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.33

Colorado Rapids

W L W W W L

Form 4-0-2 Goals 5:4 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Columbus Crew win54.6%

Draw24.7%

Colorado Rapids win20.7%

Over 1.5 goals82.2%

Over 2.5 goals58.9%

Over 3.5 goals36.5%

Both teams to score59.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.6%

Under 5.5 Goals

91.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)78.0%

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Draw No Bet - Home71.8%

Both Halves Over 0.560.8%

Goal in Both Halves60.8%

Home Win56.0%

Draw or Away (X2)44.0%

Draw No Bet - Away28.2%

Draw22.1%

Away Win22.0%

Exactly 1 Goal14.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals91.1%

Over 1.5 Goals80.9%

Under 4.5 Goals80.6%

Under 3.5 Goals63.5%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals58.9%

1-3 Goals58.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.4%

Under 2.5 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.5%

4+ Goals36.5%

1-2 Goals36.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals19.4%

Under 1.5 Goals19.1%

Over 5.5 Goals8.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.4%

Away Team to Score67.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.2%

Home Clean Sheet32.4%

Home Win to Nil27.6%

Away Clean Sheet14.6%

Away Win to Nil9.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.4%

Away Over 0.567.6%

Home Over 1.557.4%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 032.4%

Away Over 1.531.1%

Home Over 2.530.3%

Home 3+ Goals30.3%

Home Exactly 128.1%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 220.6%

Home Exactly 014.6%

Away Over 2.510.5%

Away 3+ Goals10.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.2%

Home to win by 123.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.6%

Home to win by 3+15.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.9%

Away to win by 25.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.5%

Away to win by 3+2.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.5%

Home & Over 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.9%

Home & BTTS28.3%

Home & No BTTS27.6%

Home & Under 2.517.8%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Under 2.515.0%

Away & Over 2.513.6%

Away & BTTS12.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

Away & No BTTS9.8%

Away & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.7%

HT Under 1.560.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Home Win42.0%

HT Over 1.539.9%

HT Draw37.7%

HT/FT Home/Home35.6%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.3%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT Both Teams Score23.1%

HT Away Win20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Away/Away12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions