USA · Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami

Kick-off 00:00 · Mon, Sep 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Columbus Crew 52.2% Draw 17.1% Inter Miami 30.7%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 89%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

89%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Inter Miami: 3 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.6%

Exact-score model probability

Columbus Crew

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Inter Miami

D D W W L D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Columbus Crew 0wins ·1 draws ·Inter Miami 0wins

Columbus Crew 2-2 Inter MiamiAug 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Columbus Crew win52.2%

Draw17.1%

Inter Miami win30.7%

Over 1.5 goals98.3%

Over 2.5 goals93.0%

Over 3.5 goals83.3%

Both teams to score89.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.7%

Away Over 0.5

91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.1%

Goal in Both Halves89.1%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)68.4%

Draw No Bet - Home62.8%

Home Win52.1%

Draw or Away (X2)47.2%

Draw No Bet - Away37.2%

Away Win30.9%

Draw16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals97.2%

Over 2.5 Goals92.3%

Over 3.5 Goals82.7%

4+ Goals82.7%

Over 4.5 Goals68.6%

Over 5.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 5.5 Goals47.8%

Under 4.5 Goals31.4%

2-4 Goals28.6%

3-4 Goals23.7%

Under 3.5 Goals17.3%

1-3 Goals16.2%

2-3 Goals14.6%

Exactly 3 Goals9.6%

Under 2.5 Goals7.7%

1-2 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals4.9%

Under 1.5 Goals2.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.8%

Home Clean Sheet7.5%

Home Win to Nil7.2%

Away Clean Sheet3.8%

Away Win to Nil3.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 0.591.7%

Home Over 1.582.9%

Away Over 1.572.3%

Home Over 2.562.6%

Home 3+ Goals62.6%

Away Over 2.547.3%

Away 3+ Goals47.3%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 220.3%

Away Exactly 119.4%

Home Exactly 112.5%

Away Exactly 07.5%

Home Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.3%

Home to win by 3+21.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.2%

Away to win by 113.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.8%

Away to win by 3+8.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.585.8%

Home & Over 2.549.6%

Home & BTTS44.8%

Away & Over 2.529.2%

Away & BTTS27.3%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.6%

Home & No BTTS7.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.5%

Away & No BTTS3.5%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.8%

HT Over 1.573.9%

HT Both Teams Score52.9%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Home Win44.2%

HT/FT Home/Home35.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win30.0%

HT Under 1.526.1%

HT Draw25.8%

HT/FT Away/Away19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.9%

HT Under 0.57.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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