USA · Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution

Kick-off 21:30 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

43% confidence

Columbus Crew 34.4% Draw 22.9% New England Revolution 42.7%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 75%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to New England Revolution: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Columbus Crew

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

New England Revolution

D W L L D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Columbus Crew win34.4%

Draw22.9%

New England Revolution win42.7%

Over 1.5 goals91.1%

Over 2.5 goals74.8%

Over 3.5 goals54.8%

Both teams to score74.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

92.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.1%

Both Halves Over 0.573.1%

Goal in Both Halves73.1%

Draw or Away (X2)64.6%

Home or Draw (1X)56.2%

Draw No Bet - Away55.3%

Draw No Bet - Home44.7%

Away Win43.7%

Home Win35.4%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.1%

Under 5.5 Goals80.0%

Over 2.5 Goals74.8%

Under 4.5 Goals64.7%

Over 3.5 Goals54.8%

4+ Goals54.8%

2-4 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals45.2%

1-3 Goals43.2%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals35.3%

2-3 Goals35.3%

Under 2.5 Goals25.2%

1-2 Goals23.2%

Over 5.5 Goals20.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Exactly 2 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals9.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.2%

Home Team to Score84.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)73.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)26.5%

Away Clean Sheet15.8%

Away Win to Nil13.8%

Home Clean Sheet12.7%

Home Win to Nil10.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.2%

Home Over 0.584.2%

Away Over 1.561.0%

Home Over 1.555.0%

Away Over 2.533.9%

Away 3+ Goals33.9%

Home Exactly 129.1%

Home Over 2.528.2%

Home 3+ Goals28.2%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 126.2%

Home Exactly 015.8%

Away Exactly 012.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home56.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)43.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 118.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 117.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.0%

Away to win by 213.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.8%

Away to win by 3+11.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 210.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.9%

Home to win by 3+7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.565.8%

Away & Over 2.535.3%

Away & BTTS30.0%

Home & Over 2.528.2%

Home & BTTS24.6%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.6%

Away & No BTTS13.8%

Draw & Over 2.511.2%

Home & No BTTS10.7%

Draw & Under 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.6%

Home & Under 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.8%

HT Over 1.552.5%

HT Under 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Away Win36.0%

HT Both Teams Score34.1%

HT Draw33.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Home Win30.7%

HT/FT Away/Away27.3%

HT/FT Home/Home21.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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