USA · Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Columbus Crew 57.4% Draw 19.0% New York Red Bulls 23.6%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to New York Red Bulls: 3 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Columbus Crew

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

New York Red Bulls

L D L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Columbus Crew 0wins ·0 draws ·New York Red Bulls 1wins

Columbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMay 14, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Columbus Crew win57.4%

Draw19.0%

New York Red Bulls win23.6%

Over 1.5 goals94.8%

Over 2.5 goals83.2%

Over 3.5 goals66.6%

Both teams to score78.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

88.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Both Halves Over 0.580.0%

Goal in Both Halves80.0%

Home or Draw (1X)75.5%

Draw No Bet - Home70.5%

Home Win57.9%

Draw or Away (X2)41.9%

Draw No Bet - Away29.5%

Away Win24.2%

Draw17.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.9%

Over 2.5 Goals83.0%

Under 5.5 Goals69.6%

Over 3.5 Goals66.4%

4+ Goals66.4%

Under 4.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals47.5%

2-4 Goals46.4%

3-4 Goals35.4%

Under 3.5 Goals33.6%

1-3 Goals32.3%

Over 5.5 Goals30.4%

2-3 Goals27.5%

Under 2.5 Goals17.0%

Exactly 3 Goals16.6%

1-2 Goals15.7%

Exactly 2 Goals10.9%

Under 1.5 Goals6.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.4%

Away Team to Score83.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.1%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Home Win to Nil15.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.4%

Away Win to Nil5.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.4%

Away Over 0.583.2%

Home Over 1.575.9%

Away Over 1.553.5%

Home Over 2.551.8%

Home 3+ Goals51.8%

Away Exactly 129.7%

Away Over 2.526.8%

Away 3+ Goals26.8%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 224.1%

Home Exactly 117.5%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away77.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away41.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home22.3%

Home to win by 3+22.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 112.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.0%

Away to win by 27.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.7%

Away to win by 3+4.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.572.7%

Home & Over 2.551.0%

Home & BTTS42.4%

Away & Over 2.520.6%

Away & BTTS18.9%

Draw & BTTS16.6%

Home & No BTTS15.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Home & Under 2.56.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS5.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.1%

HT Over 1.560.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.8%

HT Home Win46.4%

HT Both Teams Score39.4%

HT Under 1.539.3%

HT/FT Home/Home38.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.4%

HT Away Win24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Away/Away14.4%

HT Under 0.512.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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