UEFA Champions League

Como vs RB Leipzig

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Sep 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

Como 65.8% Draw 14.8% RB Leipzig 19.4%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Como: 16 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.6%

Exact-score model probability

Como

W W D W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 13:4 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.67

RB Leipzig

L W L W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Como win65.8%

Draw14.8%

RB Leipzig win19.4%

Over 1.5 goals98.3%

Over 2.5 goals93.1%

Over 3.5 goals83.4%

Both teams to score86.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.7%

Both Halves Over 0.5

89.2%

Goal in Both Halves

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.2%

Goal in Both Halves89.2%

Home or Away (12)84.6%

Home or Draw (1X)79.1%

Draw No Bet - Home77.0%

Home Win65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)33.4%

Draw No Bet - Away23.0%

Away Win19.5%

Draw14.0%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals91.7%

Over 3.5 Goals82.2%

4+ Goals82.2%

Over 4.5 Goals68.2%

Over 5.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 5.5 Goals48.2%

Under 4.5 Goals31.8%

2-4 Goals28.4%

3-4 Goals23.5%

Under 3.5 Goals17.8%

1-3 Goals16.1%

2-3 Goals14.4%

Exactly 3 Goals9.5%

Under 2.5 Goals8.3%

1-2 Goals6.6%

Exactly 2 Goals4.9%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score87.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)85.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.0%

Home Clean Sheet11.4%

Home Win to Nil11.1%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 0.587.2%

Home Over 1.587.0%

Home Over 2.570.1%

Home 3+ Goals70.1%

Away Over 1.562.6%

Away Over 2.536.1%

Away 3+ Goals36.1%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 124.6%

Home Exactly 216.9%

Away Exactly 011.4%

Home Exactly 19.1%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)48.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home48.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.3%

Home to win by 3+32.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.7%

Away to win by 19.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 25.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.2%

Away to win by 3+4.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.8%

Home & Over 2.562.1%

Home & BTTS54.1%

Away & Over 2.518.2%

Away & BTTS17.3%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

Home & No BTTS11.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.6%

BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Away & Under 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.8%

HT Over 1.574.0%

HT Home Win53.7%

2nd Half More Goals51.1%

HT Both Teams Score50.4%

HT/FT Home/Home46.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.0%

HT Draw24.3%

HT Away Win22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT/FT Away/Away11.6%

HT Under 0.57.2%

HT/FT Away/Home6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions