Italy · Serie A

Como vs Sassuolo

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Como 67.0% Draw 19.4% Sassuolo 13.5%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Como: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Como

W W L D L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Sassuolo

L D L W D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 2

Como 1wins ·0 draws ·Sassuolo 1wins

Como 1-2 SassuoloApr 17, 2026

Como 2-0 SassuoloNov 28, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Como win67.0%

Draw19.4%

Sassuolo win13.5%

Over 1.5 goals80.2%

Over 2.5 goals92.3%

Over 3.5 goals35.3%

Both teams to score70.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.5%

Draw No Bet - Home90.2%

Home or Away (12)87.8%

Both Halves Over 0.580.5%

Goal in Both Halves80.5%

Home Win79.2%

Draw or Away (X2)19.9%

Draw11.3%

Draw No Bet - Away9.8%

Away Win8.6%

Exactly 1 Goal4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals93.5%

Over 2.5 Goals82.9%

Under 5.5 Goals69.3%

Over 3.5 Goals66.7%

4+ Goals66.7%

Under 4.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 4.5 Goals47.9%

2-4 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 3.5 Goals33.3%

1-3 Goals31.4%

Over 5.5 Goals30.7%

2-3 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals17.1%

Exactly 3 Goals16.3%

1-2 Goals15.2%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score68.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.2%

Home Clean Sheet31.1%

Home Win to Nil30.1%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Away Over 0.568.0%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.532.0%

Away Exactly 031.1%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Over 2.511.1%

Away 3+ Goals11.1%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)79.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.4%

Home to win by 3+43.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)36.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away36.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home26.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 219.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.8%

Home to win by 116.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 15.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 22.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.569.9%

BTTS & Over 2.561.8%

Home & BTTS49.1%

Home & No BTTS30.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.2%

Draw & BTTS10.3%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

Away & Over 2.56.8%

Away & BTTS6.4%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.0%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS2.2%

Away & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.4%

HT Home Win62.8%

HT Over 1.561.4%

HT/FT Home/Home58.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Under 1.538.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score32.0%

HT Draw25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.9%

HT Under 0.512.6%

HT Away Win12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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