Italy · Serie A

Como vs Venezia

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Como 78.4% Draw 15.5% Venezia 6.1%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Como: 13 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Como

W W W W L D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:6 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1

Venezia

L L W L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 2

Como 0wins ·2 draws ·Venezia 0wins

Como 1-1 VeneziaMar 8, 2025

Como 2-2 VeneziaDec 8, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Como win78.4%

Draw15.5%

Venezia win6.1%

Over 1.5 goals76.0%

Over 2.5 goals88.0%

Over 3.5 goals29.6%

Both teams to score46.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Home or Away (12)

89.2%

HT Over 0.5

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.1%

Home or Draw (1X)92.9%

Home or Away (12)89.2%

Home Win83.0%

Both Halves Over 0.578.3%

Goal in Both Halves78.3%

Draw or Away (X2)16.1%

Draw9.9%

Draw No Bet - Away6.9%

Away Win6.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals92.4%

Over 2.5 Goals80.3%

Under 5.5 Goals73.3%

Over 3.5 Goals62.8%

4+ Goals62.8%

Under 4.5 Goals56.4%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-4 Goals48.8%

Over 4.5 Goals43.6%

Under 3.5 Goals37.2%

3-4 Goals36.8%

1-3 Goals35.1%

2-3 Goals29.6%

Over 5.5 Goals26.7%

Under 2.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.5%

Exactly 2 Goals12.0%

Under 1.5 Goals7.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score60.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.0%

Home Clean Sheet39.1%

Home Win to Nil37.9%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil1.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 0.560.0%

Away Exactly 039.1%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.523.6%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Exactly 216.9%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Away Over 2.56.7%

Away 3+ Goals6.7%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away69.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home66.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)51.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away51.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home47.5%

Home to win by 3+47.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)32.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away32.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home29.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.4%

Home to win by 219.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.1%

Home to win by 116.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.3%

Away to win by 14.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.571.2%

BTTS & Over 2.554.0%

Home & BTTS45.1%

Home & No BTTS37.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.7%

Home & Under 2.511.8%

Draw & BTTS8.6%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Away & Over 2.54.5%

Away & BTTS4.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Away & No BTTS1.9%

Away & Under 2.51.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Home Win65.8%

HT/FT Home/Home62.7%

HT Over 1.558.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.4%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score26.9%

HT Draw24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.4%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT Away Win9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Away/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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