Brazil · Serie A

Corinthians vs Mirassol

Kick-off 00:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Corinthians 20.6% Draw 24.8% Mirassol 54.6%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 79.4% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 20.6% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Mirassol: 1 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

79.4%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

20.6%

Only the uncovered result loses

Corinthians

L D L L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

Mirassol

D W L D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Corinthians 0wins ·0 draws ·Mirassol 1wins

Corinthians 0-2 MirassolMay 4, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Corinthians win20.6%

Draw24.8%

Mirassol win54.6%

Over 1.5 goals82.0%

Over 2.5 goals58.6%

Over 3.5 goals36.2%

Both teams to score58.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)78.1%

Home or Away (12)77.9%

Draw No Bet - Away71.8%

Both Halves Over 0.560.6%

Goal in Both Halves60.6%

Away Win55.9%

Home or Draw (1X)44.0%

Draw No Bet - Home28.2%

Draw22.1%

Home Win21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal14.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Under 5.5 Goals91.2%

Under 4.5 Goals80.8%

Over 1.5 Goals80.7%

Under 3.5 Goals63.8%

2-4 Goals61.5%

1-3 Goals59.0%

Over 2.5 Goals58.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.5%

Under 2.5 Goals41.4%

3-4 Goals39.4%

1-2 Goals36.6%

Over 3.5 Goals36.2%

4+ Goals36.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals22.1%

Under 1.5 Goals19.3%

Over 4.5 Goals19.2%

Over 5.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.3%

Home Team to Score67.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.5%

Away Clean Sheet32.6%

Away Win to Nil27.8%

Home Clean Sheet14.7%

Home Win to Nil9.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.3%

Home Over 0.567.4%

Away Over 1.557.2%

Home Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 032.6%

Home Over 1.530.9%

Away Over 2.530.2%

Away 3+ Goals30.2%

Away Exactly 128.1%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 220.5%

Away Exactly 014.7%

Home Over 2.510.4%

Home 3+ Goals10.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home84.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)32.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away32.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.3%

Away to win by 123.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 217.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.6%

Away to win by 3+15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 25.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.547.3%

Away & Over 2.538.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.531.1%

Away & BTTS28.2%

Away & No BTTS27.8%

Away & Under 2.518.0%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Under 2.515.1%

Home & Over 2.513.6%

Home & BTTS12.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Home & No BTTS9.9%

Home & Under 2.58.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.6%

HT Under 1.560.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.7%

HT Away Win41.9%

HT Over 1.539.7%

HT Draw37.8%

HT/FT Away/Away35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Under 0.525.4%

Equal Goals Each Half23.8%

HT Both Teams Score22.9%

HT Home Win20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.5%

HT/FT Home/Home12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners86.6%

Under 10.5 Corners78.6%

Under 9.5 Corners68.0%

Under 8.5 Corners55.2%

Home Most Corners47.0%

Over 8.5 Corners44.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.8%

Away Most Corners39.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners37.1%

Over 9.5 Corners32.0%

Over 10.5 Corners21.4%

Over 11.5 Corners13.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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