Brazil · Serie A

Corinthians vs Santos

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Corinthians 58.3% Draw 20.1% Santos 21.6%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Corinthians

L L W D D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Santos

D W L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Corinthians win58.3%

Draw20.1%

Santos win21.6%

Over 1.5 goals92.5%

Over 2.5 goals77.8%

Over 3.5 goals58.8%

Both teams to score73.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.5%

Home or Draw (1X)77.4%

Both Halves Over 0.575.5%

Goal in Both Halves75.5%

Draw No Bet - Home72.4%

Home Win59.0%

Draw or Away (X2)40.8%

Draw No Bet - Away27.6%

Away Win22.5%

Draw18.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals77.7%

Under 5.5 Goals76.9%

Under 4.5 Goals60.8%

Over 3.5 Goals58.7%

4+ Goals58.7%

2-4 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals41.3%

1-3 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals39.2%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals32.8%

Over 5.5 Goals23.1%

Under 2.5 Goals22.3%

1-2 Goals20.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.1%

Away Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.3%

Home Clean Sheet21.0%

Home Win to Nil19.4%

Away Clean Sheet7.8%

Away Win to Nil6.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.1%

Away Over 0.578.9%

Home Over 1.572.2%

Home Over 2.546.8%

Home 3+ Goals46.8%

Away Over 1.546.1%

Away Exactly 132.7%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 021.0%

Away Over 2.520.6%

Away 3+ Goals20.6%

Home Exactly 119.9%

Home Exactly 07.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.7%

Home to win by 3+21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 217.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.4%

Away to win by 26.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.7%

Away to win by 3+3.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.566.2%

Home & Over 2.549.5%

Home & BTTS39.7%

Home & No BTTS19.4%

Away & Over 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Away & BTTS16.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

Home & Under 2.59.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.2%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS6.1%

Away & Under 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.3%

HT Over 1.555.2%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Home Win46.4%

HT Under 1.544.8%

HT/FT Home/Home39.2%

HT Both Teams Score34.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.2%

HT Away Win22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Under 0.515.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT/FT Away/Away13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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