Brazil · Serie A

Coritiba vs Atletico Paranaense

Full time · 3:3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Coritiba 31.8% Draw 20.1% Atletico Paranaense 48.1%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 82%

✓ Pick was correct (3:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Coritiba: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Coritiba

L W W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Atletico Paranaense

L D W D W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Coritiba win31.8%

Draw20.1%

Atletico Paranaense win48.1%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals84.2%

Over 3.5 goals68.1%

Both teams to score81.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

92.0%

Away Over 0.5

92.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Both Halves Over 0.580.8%

Goal in Both Halves80.8%

Draw or Away (X2)67.5%

Draw No Bet - Away60.1%

Home or Draw (1X)51.1%

Away Win48.7%

Draw No Bet - Home39.9%

Home Win32.4%

Draw18.7%

Exactly 1 Goal4.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.4%

Over 2.5 Goals84.0%

Under 5.5 Goals68.0%

Over 3.5 Goals67.9%

4+ Goals67.9%

Under 4.5 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.3%

2-4 Goals45.1%

3-4 Goals34.7%

Under 3.5 Goals32.1%

Over 5.5 Goals32.0%

1-3 Goals30.9%

2-3 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals16.1%

Under 2.5 Goals16.0%

1-2 Goals14.9%

Exactly 2 Goals10.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.0%

Home Team to Score87.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.3%

Away Clean Sheet12.3%

Away Win to Nil11.4%

Home Clean Sheet7.8%

Home Win to Nil6.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.0%

Home Over 0.587.5%

Away Over 1.572.1%

Home Over 1.561.7%

Away Over 2.546.8%

Away 3+ Goals46.8%

Home Over 2.534.7%

Home 3+ Goals34.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 125.8%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 119.9%

Home Exactly 012.3%

Away Exactly 07.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home83.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)51.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home51.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away16.4%

Away to win by 3+16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.0%

Home to win by 115.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 29.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.9%

Home to win by 3+7.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.575.5%

Away & Over 2.543.1%

Away & BTTS37.4%

Home & Over 2.528.3%

Home & BTTS25.5%

Draw & BTTS17.8%

Draw & Over 2.512.6%

Away & No BTTS11.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Home & No BTTS6.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

Away & Under 2.55.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & Under 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.6%

HT Over 1.561.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.9%

HT Both Teams Score41.6%

HT Away Win40.4%

HT Under 1.538.2%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT/FT Away/Away31.6%

HT Home Win29.8%

HT Draw29.8%

HT/FT Home/Home19.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.8%

HT Under 0.512.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners79.1%

Home Most Corners78.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners71.5%

Under 10.5 Corners69.1%

Under 9.5 Corners57.1%

Over 8.5 Corners56.1%

Under 8.5 Corners43.9%

Over 9.5 Corners42.9%

Over 10.5 Corners30.9%

Over 11.5 Corners20.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners20.6%

Away Most Corners12.8%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards96.6%

Under 4.5 Cards90.7%

Under 3.5 Cards78.4%

Under 2.5 Cards57.6%

Over 2.5 Cards42.4%

Over 3.5 Cards21.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards9.5%

Over 4.5 Cards9.3%

Over 5.5 Cards3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions