Brazil · Serie A

Coritiba vs Cruzeiro

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

92% confidence

Coritiba 24.0% Draw 20.0% Cruzeiro 56.0%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 88%

✗ Pick missed (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 40%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

85%

Away Win

Cruzeiro stronger

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Coritiba and Cruzeiro have a significant form gap, with Cruzeiro having a stronger away record. Coritiba's attacking threat is notable, but Cruzeiro's defensive strength could limit their scoring opportunities. With key players like Vitor Roque potentially missing, Coritiba's attack may be weakened. The high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability suggest a high-scoring match. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high expected goals and BTTS rate.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 92% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Cruzeiro: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

92%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Coritiba high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Cruzeiro high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Bookmaker implied chance

40%

Market does not fully agree

Coritiba

D L W W D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:11 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Cruzeiro

L W D W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Coritiba win24.0%

Draw20.0%

Cruzeiro win56.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.0%

Over 2.5 goals92.0%

Over 3.5 goals81.2%

Both teams to score87.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.3%

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.0%

Goal in Both Halves88.0%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Draw or Away (X2)72.0%

Draw No Bet - Away67.2%

Away Win55.9%

Home or Draw (1X)43.3%

Draw No Bet - Home32.8%

Home Win27.2%

Draw16.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals96.9%

Over 2.5 Goals91.3%

Over 3.5 Goals80.6%

4+ Goals80.6%

Over 4.5 Goals65.7%

Under 5.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Over 5.5 Goals48.8%

Under 4.5 Goals34.3%

2-4 Goals31.2%

3-4 Goals25.6%

Under 3.5 Goals19.4%

1-3 Goals18.3%

2-3 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals10.6%

Under 2.5 Goals8.7%

1-2 Goals7.6%

Exactly 2 Goals5.6%

Under 1.5 Goals3.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.5%

Home Team to Score89.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.5%

Away Clean Sheet9.3%

Away Win to Nil9.0%

Home Clean Sheet3.8%

Home Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 1.583.1%

Home Over 1.567.9%

Away Over 2.562.9%

Away 3+ Goals62.9%

Home Over 2.541.8%

Home 3+ Goals41.8%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 122.1%

Away Exactly 220.3%

Away Exactly 112.4%

Home Exactly 09.3%

Away Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away92.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home75.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)43.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home43.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away38.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.7%

Away to win by 3+23.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.1%

Away to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 215.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.8%

Home to win by 27.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.0%

Home to win by 3+7.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.8%

Away & Over 2.552.9%

Away & BTTS47.0%

Home & Over 2.525.4%

Home & BTTS23.8%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

Away & No BTTS9.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Home & No BTTS3.4%

Draw & Under 2.53.1%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.1%

HT Over 1.572.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Both Teams Score50.5%

HT Away Win46.6%

HT/FT Away/Away38.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.9%

HT Home Win27.3%

HT Draw26.1%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Home/Home16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.8%

HT Under 0.57.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.0%

HT/FT Home/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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