Brazil · Serie A

Coritiba vs Vitoria

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Coritiba 52.2% Draw 20.0% Vitoria 27.8%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Vitoria: 2 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.1%

Exact-score model probability

Coritiba

L D L L D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:16 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.67

Vitoria

D D L W L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Coritiba 0wins ·0 draws ·Vitoria 1wins

Coritiba 1-4 VitoriaMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Coritiba win52.2%

Draw20.0%

Vitoria win27.8%

Over 1.5 goals94.6%

Over 2.5 goals82.6%

Over 3.5 goals65.7%

Both teams to score79.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.0%

HT Over 0.5

86.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Both Halves Over 0.579.5%

Goal in Both Halves79.5%

Home or Draw (1X)71.4%

Draw No Bet - Home65.0%

Home Win52.8%

Draw or Away (X2)47.0%

Draw No Bet - Away35.0%

Away Win28.4%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal5.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.7%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals82.4%

Under 5.5 Goals70.5%

Over 3.5 Goals65.6%

4+ Goals65.6%

Under 4.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

2-4 Goals47.1%

Over 4.5 Goals46.6%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 3.5 Goals34.4%

1-3 Goals33.2%

Over 5.5 Goals29.5%

2-3 Goals28.2%

Under 2.5 Goals17.6%

Exactly 3 Goals16.9%

1-2 Goals16.3%

Exactly 2 Goals11.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.3%

Away Team to Score85.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.4%

Home Clean Sheet14.8%

Home Win to Nil13.7%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.3%

Away Over 0.585.0%

Home Over 1.572.9%

Away Over 1.556.8%

Home Over 2.547.7%

Home 3+ Goals47.7%

Away Over 2.529.8%

Away 3+ Goals29.8%

Away Exactly 128.3%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Home Exactly 119.4%

Away Exactly 014.8%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)52.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away47.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.0%

Home to win by 119.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.6%

Home to win by 3+18.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.2%

Home to win by 215.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 114.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.3%

Away to win by 28.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.1%

Home & Over 2.546.2%

Home & BTTS39.1%

Away & Over 2.524.3%

Away & BTTS22.0%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Home & No BTTS13.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

Home & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

Away & No BTTS6.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Away & Under 2.54.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.8%

HT Over 1.560.0%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Home Win42.9%

HT Under 1.540.0%

HT Both Teams Score39.7%

HT/FT Home/Home34.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw30.1%

HT Away Win27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Away/Away17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.7%

HT Under 0.513.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners74.9%

Under 10.5 Corners64.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners61.9%

Over 8.5 Corners61.1%

Home Most Corners58.5%

Under 9.5 Corners51.9%

Over 9.5 Corners48.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners40.5%

Under 8.5 Corners38.9%

Over 10.5 Corners35.8%

Away Most Corners29.2%

Over 11.5 Corners25.1%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards83.4%

Over 2.5 Cards71.0%

Under 4.5 Cards69.2%

Over 3.5 Cards50.1%

Under 3.5 Cards49.9%

Over 4.5 Cards30.8%

Under 2.5 Cards29.0%

Over 5.5 Cards16.6%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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