Turkey · Süper Lig

Çorum FK vs Kasımpaşa

Kick-off 17:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Çorum FK 47.0% Draw 18.4% Kasımpaşa 34.6%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Çorum FK

Form 0-1-0 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2

Kasımpaşa

D W L D

Form 1-2-1 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Çorum FK win47.0%

Draw18.4%

Kasımpaşa win34.6%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.3%

Over 3.5 goals78.3%

Both teams to score87.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.4%

Away Over 0.5

91.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.4%

Goal in Both Halves86.4%

Home or Away (12)82.1%

Home or Draw (1X)64.7%

Draw No Bet - Home57.5%

Draw or Away (X2)52.3%

Home Win47.3%

Draw No Bet - Away42.5%

Away Win34.9%

Draw17.5%

Exactly 1 Goal2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.6%

Over 2.5 Goals90.0%

Over 3.5 Goals78.0%

4+ Goals78.0%

Over 4.5 Goals61.9%

Under 5.5 Goals55.4%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals44.6%

Under 4.5 Goals38.1%

2-4 Goals34.8%

3-4 Goals28.1%

Under 3.5 Goals22.0%

1-3 Goals21.2%

2-3 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals12.0%

Under 2.5 Goals10.0%

1-2 Goals9.2%

Exactly 2 Goals6.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.0%

Away Team to Score91.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.8%

Home Clean Sheet8.2%

Home Win to Nil7.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.6%

Away Win to Nil5.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.0%

Away Over 0.591.4%

Home Over 1.577.8%

Away Over 1.571.0%

Home Over 2.554.5%

Home 3+ Goals54.5%

Away Over 2.545.4%

Away 3+ Goals45.4%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Away Exactly 120.5%

Home Exactly 116.2%

Away Exactly 08.2%

Home Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away82.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home17.1%

Home to win by 3+17.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 116.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.7%

Away to win by 114.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.3%

Home to win by 213.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away to win by 3+10.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.9%

Home & Over 2.544.0%

Home & BTTS39.5%

Away & Over 2.532.3%

Away & BTTS29.7%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.7%

Home & No BTTS7.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS5.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Home & Under 2.53.2%

Away & Under 2.52.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.1%

HT Over 1.569.6%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score49.0%

HT Home Win40.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win32.2%

HT/FT Home/Home31.0%

HT Under 1.530.4%

HT Draw27.4%

HT/FT Away/Away21.9%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.1%

HT Under 0.58.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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