England · Premier League

Coventry vs Brighton

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Coventry 31.1% Draw 30.9% Brighton 38.0%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Coventry: 6 points versus 5 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.93 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

Coventry

L L W L W

Form 2-0-3 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 1.4

Brighton

D L W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Coventry win31.1%

Draw30.9%

Brighton win38.0%

Over 1.5 goals69.3%

Over 2.5 goals89.0%

Over 3.5 goals20.9%

Both teams to score83.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

90.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.585.2%

Goal in Both Halves85.2%

Home or Away (12)83.8%

Home or Draw (1X)78.1%

Draw No Bet - Home74.6%

Home Win62.5%

Draw or Away (X2)36.9%

Draw No Bet - Away25.4%

Away Win21.3%

Draw15.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.9%

Over 2.5 Goals88.5%

Over 3.5 Goals75.5%

4+ Goals75.5%

Under 5.5 Goals58.8%

Over 4.5 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Under 4.5 Goals41.3%

Over 5.5 Goals41.2%

2-4 Goals37.2%

3-4 Goals29.8%

Under 3.5 Goals24.5%

1-3 Goals23.3%

2-3 Goals20.4%

Exactly 3 Goals12.9%

Under 2.5 Goals11.5%

1-2 Goals10.3%

Exactly 2 Goals7.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score85.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.0%

Home Clean Sheet14.0%

Home Win to Nil13.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.9%

Away Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 0.585.4%

Home Over 1.582.7%

Home Over 2.562.2%

Home 3+ Goals62.2%

Away Over 1.557.9%

Away Over 2.531.0%

Away 3+ Goals31.0%

Away Exactly 127.4%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 220.6%

Away Exactly 014.0%

Home Exactly 112.7%

Home Exactly 03.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.0%

Home to win by 3+28.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 117.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.8%

Away to win by 110.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away10.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 3+4.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.578.5%

Home & Over 2.557.8%

Home & BTTS49.0%

Away & Over 2.519.1%

Away & BTTS17.9%

Draw & BTTS15.0%

Home & No BTTS13.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Home & Under 2.54.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Away & No BTTS3.4%

Away & Under 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.4%

HT Over 1.567.8%

HT Home Win50.6%

2nd Half More Goals50.0%

HT Both Teams Score45.0%

HT/FT Home/Home43.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.532.2%

HT Draw26.6%

HT Away Win22.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT Under 0.59.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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