England · Premier League

Coventry vs Fulham

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Coventry 38.0% Draw 32.0% Fulham 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Coventry: 6 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Coventry

L W W L L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Fulham

W L D D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Coventry win38.0%

Draw32.0%

Fulham win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals64.2%

Over 2.5 goals64.7%

Over 3.5 goals16.8%

Both teams to score67.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.1%

Both Halves Over 0.565.2%

Goal in Both Halves65.2%

Home or Draw (1X)63.2%

Draw or Away (X2)59.7%

Draw No Bet - Home52.3%

Draw No Bet - Away47.7%

Home Win40.3%

Away Win36.8%

Draw22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal11.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.9%

Over 1.5 Goals84.5%

Under 4.5 Goals75.7%

Over 2.5 Goals64.7%

2-4 Goals60.2%

Under 3.5 Goals57.4%

1-3 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.6%

4+ Goals42.6%

2-3 Goals41.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.3%

1-2 Goals31.7%

Over 4.5 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.8%

Under 1.5 Goals15.5%

Over 5.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.8%

Away Team to Score80.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.3%

Home Clean Sheet19.7%

Away Clean Sheet18.1%

Home Win to Nil16.1%

Away Win to Nil14.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.8%

Away Over 0.580.3%

Home Over 1.550.9%

Away Over 1.548.3%

Away Exactly 132.0%

Home Exactly 131.0%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Home Over 2.524.5%

Home 3+ Goals24.5%

Away Over 2.522.3%

Away 3+ Goals22.3%

Away Exactly 019.7%

Home Exactly 018.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 119.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 118.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.9%

Away to win by 210.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.7%

Home to win by 3+8.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.4%

Away to win by 3+7.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.8%

Home & Over 2.529.0%

Away & Over 2.526.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.4%

Home & BTTS24.2%

Away & BTTS22.2%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Home & No BTTS16.1%

Away & No BTTS14.6%

Draw & Under 2.513.5%

Home & Under 2.511.3%

Away & Under 2.510.5%

BTTS & Under 2.59.9%

Draw & Over 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.7%

HT Under 1.555.8%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.2%

HT Draw36.7%

HT Home Win32.7%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Away Win30.5%

HT Both Teams Score27.8%

HT/FT Home/Home24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.3%

HT/FT Away/Away22.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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