England · Premier League

Coventry vs Sunderland

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Coventry 37.4% Draw 34.2% Sunderland 28.3%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Coventry: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Coventry

L L W W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Sunderland

D L L L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Coventry win37.4%

Draw34.2%

Sunderland win28.3%

Over 1.5 goals58.6%

Over 2.5 goals85.7%

Over 3.5 goals12.9%

Both teams to score82.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.1%

HT Over 0.5

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.2%

Goal in Both Halves82.2%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Home or Draw (1X)69.1%

Draw No Bet - Home62.4%

Home Win50.9%

Draw or Away (X2)48.9%

Draw No Bet - Away37.6%

Away Win30.7%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal3.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals85.6%

Over 3.5 Goals70.4%

4+ Goals70.4%

Under 5.5 Goals65.3%

Over 4.5 Goals52.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals47.8%

2-4 Goals42.8%

Over 5.5 Goals34.7%

3-4 Goals33.3%

Under 3.5 Goals29.6%

1-3 Goals28.6%

2-3 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals15.2%

Under 2.5 Goals14.4%

1-2 Goals13.4%

Exactly 2 Goals9.5%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score87.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.3%

Home Clean Sheet12.1%

Home Win to Nil11.3%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Away Over 0.587.7%

Home Over 1.574.8%

Away Over 1.562.2%

Home Over 2.550.2%

Home 3+ Goals50.2%

Away Over 2.535.3%

Away 3+ Goals35.3%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 125.5%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Exactly 012.1%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.1%

Home to win by 3+18.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 214.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.5%

Away to win by 3+7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.1%

Home & Over 2.545.7%

Home & BTTS39.6%

Away & Over 2.527.2%

Away & BTTS24.8%

Draw & BTTS17.4%

Draw & Over 2.512.7%

Home & No BTTS11.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Away & No BTTS6.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.5%

Home & Under 2.55.2%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.5%

HT Over 1.563.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Both Teams Score43.1%

HT Home Win42.0%

HT Under 1.536.4%

HT/FT Home/Home33.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.1%

HT Away Win28.9%

HT/FT Away/Away18.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT Under 0.511.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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