Italy · Serie B

Cremonese vs Modena

Kick-off 19:30 · Fri, Aug 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

35% confidence

Cremonese 35.2% Draw 30.2% Modena 34.6%

Over 2.5 - 46% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cremonese: 7 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Cremonese

L W W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Modena

L L W

Form 1-0-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cremonese win35.2%

Draw30.2%

Modena win34.6%

Over 1.5 goals73.3%

Over 2.5 goals46.1%

Over 3.5 goals24.6%

Both teams to score52.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

88.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

84.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.1%

Home or Draw (1X)63.7%

Draw or Away (X2)63.2%

Both Halves Over 0.550.8%

Goal in Both Halves50.8%

Draw No Bet - Home50.4%

Draw No Bet - Away49.6%

Home Win36.8%

Away Win36.3%

Draw26.9%

Exactly 1 Goal20.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.7%

Over 0.5 Goals91.9%

Under 4.5 Goals88.9%

Under 3.5 Goals75.4%

Over 1.5 Goals71.6%

1-3 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals60.5%

Under 2.5 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals35.0%

Under 1.5 Goals28.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.6%

Over 3.5 Goals24.6%

4+ Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Over 4.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.1%

Exactly 0 Goals8.1%

Over 5.5 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.8%

Away Team to Score71.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.7%

Home Clean Sheet28.6%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Home Win to Nil20.5%

Away Win to Nil20.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.8%

Away Over 0.571.4%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 1.535.6%

Away Exactly 028.6%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Away Over 2.513.2%

Away 3+ Goals13.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away63.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)36.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 120.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.5%

Away to win by 120.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.6%

Home to win by 210.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 210.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.5%

Home to win by 3+5.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.3%

Away to win by 3+5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.1%

BTTS & Over 2.538.5%

Draw & Under 2.520.8%

Home & No BTTS20.5%

Home & Over 2.520.2%

Away & No BTTS20.2%

Away & Over 2.519.8%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & Under 2.516.6%

Away & Under 2.516.4%

Home & BTTS16.3%

Away & BTTS16.1%

BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.6%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.568.7%

HT Over 0.567.8%

HT Draw43.4%

2nd Half More Goals42.6%

HT Under 0.532.2%

HT Over 1.531.3%

1st Half More Goals30.7%

HT Home Win28.5%

HT Away Win28.1%

Equal Goals Each Half26.6%

HT/FT Home/Home21.4%

HT/FT Away/Away21.0%

HT Both Teams Score18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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