Italy · Serie B

Cremonese vs Padova

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Cremonese 10.5% Draw 10.5% Padova 79.0%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-4 at 5.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.4%

Exact-score model probability

Cremonese

L W W L L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Padova

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cremonese win10.5%

Draw10.5%

Padova win79.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.2%

Over 3.5 goals87.6%

Both teams to score84.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.6%

Goal in Both Halves

91.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.6%

Goal in Both Halves91.6%

Draw No Bet - Away88.1%

Home or Away (12)86.2%

Draw or Away (X2)85.7%

Away Win76.0%

Home or Draw (1X)20.0%

Draw No Bet - Home11.9%

Home Win10.3%

Draw9.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals91.3%

Over 3.5 Goals84.0%

4+ Goals84.0%

Over 4.5 Goals72.4%

Over 5.5 Goals57.5%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals42.5%

Under 4.5 Goals27.6%

2-4 Goals22.3%

3-4 Goals18.9%

Under 3.5 Goals16.0%

1-3 Goals11.7%

2-3 Goals10.7%

Under 2.5 Goals8.7%

Exactly 3 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

1-2 Goals4.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 2 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.8%

Home Team to Score81.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.4%

Away Clean Sheet14.4%

Away Win to Nil14.2%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.8%

Away Over 1.589.8%

Home Over 0.581.6%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Over 1.554.2%

Home Over 2.528.3%

Home 3+ Goals28.3%

Home Exactly 127.3%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Exactly 014.4%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)87.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home78.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home65.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away62.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home49.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)46.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away46.5%

Away to win by 3+46.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)33.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home33.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away30.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away18.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 215.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw9.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 15.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.8%

Home to win by 22.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.7%

Home to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.2%

Away & Over 2.573.5%

Away & BTTS61.7%

Away & No BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.1%

Home & Over 2.59.7%

Draw & BTTS9.5%

Home & BTTS9.3%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Draw & Under 2.51.6%

BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Home & No BTTS0.9%

Home & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.4%

HT Over 1.578.2%

HT Away Win64.6%

HT/FT Away/Away59.9%

2nd Half More Goals51.9%

HT Both Teams Score49.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.521.8%

HT Draw20.4%

Equal Goals Each Half15.6%

HT Home Win14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.0%

HT/FT Home/Home5.9%

HT/FT Home/Away5.9%

HT Under 0.55.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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