Mexico · Liga MX

Cruz Azul vs Atlante FC

Full time · 2:3

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Cruz Azul 72.7% Draw 17.4% Atlante FC 9.9%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 56%

✓ Pick was correct (2:3)

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 71%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

71%

Market agrees with this pick

Cruz Azul

W W W D W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Atlante FC

D L

Form 0-1-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cruz Azul win72.7%

Draw17.4%

Atlante FC win9.9%

Over 1.5 goals87.2%

Over 2.5 goals67.6%

Over 3.5 goals46.0%

Both teams to score55.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

89.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.1%

Draw No Bet - Home87.2%

Home or Away (12)84.3%

Home Win73.5%

Both Halves Over 0.567.6%

Goal in Both Halves67.6%

Draw or Away (X2)26.4%

Draw15.6%

Draw No Bet - Away12.8%

Away Win10.8%

Exactly 1 Goal10.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals86.1%

Under 5.5 Goals86.1%

Under 4.5 Goals72.9%

Over 2.5 Goals67.5%

2-4 Goals59.1%

Under 3.5 Goals54.1%

1-3 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.9%

4+ Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals32.5%

1-2 Goals29.3%

Over 4.5 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.6%

Under 1.5 Goals13.9%

Over 5.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.3%

Away Team to Score59.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.2%

Home Clean Sheet40.6%

Home Win to Nil37.5%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil4.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.3%

Home Over 1.572.9%

Away Over 0.559.3%

Home Over 2.547.7%

Home 3+ Goals47.7%

Away Exactly 040.6%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Over 1.522.7%

Home Exactly 119.5%

Away Exactly 216.4%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Away Over 2.56.3%

Away 3+ Goals6.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.1%

Home to win by 3+31.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 121.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 220.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 17.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.4%

BTTS & Over 2.547.7%

Home & No BTTS37.5%

Home & BTTS36.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.9%

Home & Under 2.518.1%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

Draw & Under 2.510.2%

BTTS & Under 2.57.1%

Away & Over 2.56.8%

Away & BTTS6.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Away & No BTTS4.5%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.2%

HT Home Win55.3%

HT Under 1.553.5%

HT/FT Home/Home50.9%

HT Over 1.546.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw31.8%

HT Both Teams Score22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.2%

HT Away Win12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Away5.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions