Mexico · Liga MX

Cruz Azul vs Club America

Kick-off 04:15 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Cruz Azul 25.6% Draw 21.8% Club America 52.6%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Club America: 9 points versus 16 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Cruz Azul

W W L L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Club America

W W W W D W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 12:2 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cruz Azul win25.6%

Draw21.8%

Club America win52.6%

Over 1.5 goals91.0%

Over 2.5 goals74.7%

Over 3.5 goals54.6%

Both teams to score72.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Cards

91.2%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.0%

Away Team to Score

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.1%

Draw or Away (X2)73.3%

Both Halves Over 0.573.0%

Goal in Both Halves73.0%

Draw No Bet - Away66.8%

Away Win53.5%

Home or Draw (1X)46.5%

Draw No Bet - Home33.2%

Home Win26.6%

Draw19.9%

Exactly 1 Goal7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.0%

Under 5.5 Goals80.1%

Over 2.5 Goals74.6%

Under 4.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals54.9%

Over 3.5 Goals54.6%

4+ Goals54.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.4%

1-3 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.4%

Over 4.5 Goals35.1%

Under 2.5 Goals25.4%

1-2 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.9%

Exactly 2 Goals15.4%

Under 1.5 Goals10.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.9%

Home Team to Score79.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.3%

Away Clean Sheet20.2%

Away Win to Nil18.2%

Home Clean Sheet10.0%

Home Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 0.579.7%

Away Over 1.566.8%

Home Over 1.547.4%

Away Over 2.540.3%

Away 3+ Goals40.3%

Home Exactly 132.3%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 123.1%

Home Over 2.521.6%

Home 3+ Goals21.6%

Home Exactly 020.2%

Away Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home66.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away33.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.2%

Away to win by 3+17.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.2%

Home to win by 114.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home12.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.6%

Home to win by 27.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.7%

Home to win by 3+4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.3%

Away & Over 2.543.4%

Away & BTTS35.3%

Home & Over 2.520.8%

Home & BTTS18.6%

Away & No BTTS18.2%

Draw & BTTS17.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.9%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Away & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

Home & No BTTS8.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.5%

Home & Under 2.55.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.7%

HT Over 1.552.4%

HT Under 1.547.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.3%

HT Away Win42.3%

HT/FT Away/Away34.6%

HT Both Teams Score33.1%

HT Draw32.8%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Home Win24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT Under 0.517.3%

HT/FT Home/Home15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners71.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners69.2%

Home Most Corners66.4%

Over 8.5 Corners64.8%

Under 10.5 Corners60.4%

Over 9.5 Corners52.1%

Under 9.5 Corners47.9%

Over 10.5 Corners39.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners37.1%

Under 8.5 Corners35.2%

Over 11.5 Corners28.4%

Away Most Corners22.6%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards96.8%

Under 4.5 Cards91.2%

Under 3.5 Cards79.3%

Under 2.5 Cards58.7%

Over 2.5 Cards41.3%

Over 3.5 Cards20.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards9.3%

Over 4.5 Cards8.8%

Over 5.5 Cards3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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