Mexico · Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs Puebla
📊 Our Prediction
Draw
51% confidence
Over 2.5 - 13%
BTTS - 19%
✗ Pick missed (2–1)
🎯 Best Pick
Draw
High draw probability
⚠️ Market disagrees
- bookies say 18%
⚠️ AIs disagree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Under 2.5 Goals
Low scoring expected
No Both Teams Score (NG)
Low BTTS rate
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Cruz Azul and Puebla have a significant form gap, with Cruz Azul having a stronger recent record. However, Puebla's away form is solid, and they have a good chance of getting a result. The defensive strength of both teams is notable, with Cruz Azul having a 29% clean sheet rate and Puebla having a 100% clean sheet rate in their last match. The injury to Chiquete Orozco may impact Cruz Azul's attack.
Top Tip
The draw is the most likely outcome given the high draw probability and the teams' recent form
📈 Probability Breakdown
Cruz Azul win24.0%
Draw51.0%
Puebla win25.0%
Over 1.5 goals33.6%
Over 2.5 goals12.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.1%
Both teams to score19.2%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.