Brazil · Serie A

Cruzeiro vs Botafogo

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Jul 26

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

45% confidence

Cruzeiro 31.0% Draw 24.0% Botafogo 45.0%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring teams

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 45%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

82%

Away Win

Away team stronger

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Cruzeiro and Botafogo have a high BTTS rate and average over 1.5 goals per game. Botafogo's away pi-rating is slightly higher. With both teams scoring frequently, Over 2.5 Goals is likely. 5 Goals as both teams have strong attacking threats.

💡

Top Tip

Back Over 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cruzeiro win31.0%

Draw24.0%

Botafogo win45.0%

Over 1.5 goals93.7%

Over 2.5 goals80.2%

Over 3.5 goals62.5%

Both teams to score78.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

89.9%

Away Over 0.5

89.9%

Home Team to Score

86.5%

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals92.8%

Away Team to Score89.9%

Away Over 0.589.9%

Home Team to Score86.5%

Home Over 0.586.5%

HT Over 0.585.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.3%

Over 2.5 Goals80.3%

Home or Away (12)80.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.9%

Both Halves Over 0.577.6%

Goal in Both Halves77.6%

Under 5.5 Goals73.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.9%

BTTS & Over 2.571.7%

Away Over 1.566.8%

Draw or Away (X2)65.1%

Over 3.5 Goals62.4%

4+ Goals62.4%

Home Over 1.559.7%

HT Over 1.557.8%

Under 4.5 Goals56.9%

Draw No Bet - Away56.6%

Home or Draw (1X)54.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-4 Goals49.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.2%

Away Win45.4%

Draw No Bet - Home43.4%

Over 4.5 Goals43.1%

HT Under 1.542.2%

Away Over 2.540.3%

Away 3+ Goals40.3%

Away & Over 2.538.8%

HT Both Teams Score38.4%

HT Away Win37.8%

Under 3.5 Goals37.6%

3-4 Goals37.2%

1-3 Goals36.2%

Home Win34.8%

Away & BTTS33.4%

Home Over 2.532.6%

Home 3+ Goals32.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw31.3%

HT Home Win30.9%

2-3 Goals30.4%

Home & Over 2.529.4%

HT/FT Away/Away28.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.0%

Home Exactly 126.9%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Over 5.5 Goals26.4%

Home & BTTS26.1%

Away Exactly 123.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.1%

HT/FT Home/Home21.3%

Draw19.7%

Under 2.5 Goals19.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.7%

Away to win by 118.4%

Draw & BTTS18.4%

1-2 Goals18.2%

Exactly 3 Goals17.9%

Home to win by 116.1%

HT Under 0.514.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.6%

Away to win by 3+13.6%

Away Clean Sheet13.4%

Home Exactly 013.4%

Away to win by 213.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.4%

Exactly 2 Goals12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

Draw & Over 2.512.2%

Away Win to Nil12.0%

Away & No BTTS12.0%

Home to win by 210.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.1%

Home Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Exactly 010.0%

Home Win to Nil8.7%

Home & No BTTS8.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.4%

Home to win by 3+8.4%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

Under 1.5 Goals7.2%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.2%

Exactly 1 Goal5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

Home & Under 2.55.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Cruzeiro

Cassio Knee Injury

Matheus Pereira Yellow Cards

Gerson Yellow Cards

Gabriel Pec Injury

K. Arroyo Inactive

Botafogo

Junior Santos Foot Injury

Kaio Pantaleao Knee Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Cruzeiro win45%

Draw45%

Botafogo win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Cruzeiro or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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