Brazil · Serie A

Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Cruzeiro 13.7% Draw 17.1% Flamengo 69.2%

Over 2.5 - 78% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cruzeiro: 13 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Cruzeiro

W W W L W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Flamengo

W W D D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:6 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cruzeiro win13.7%

Draw17.1%

Flamengo win69.2%

Over 1.5 goals92.4%

Over 2.5 goals77.8%

Over 3.5 goals58.8%

Both teams to score68.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.4%

Under 10.5 Corners

90.1%

Draw or Away (X2)

85.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.3%

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Draw No Bet - Away82.9%

Both Halves Over 0.575.6%

Goal in Both Halves75.6%

Away Win69.8%

Home or Draw (1X)30.0%

Draw No Bet - Home17.1%

Draw15.5%

Home Win14.4%

Exactly 1 Goal6.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals91.4%

Over 2.5 Goals77.6%

Under 5.5 Goals76.9%

Under 4.5 Goals60.9%

Over 3.5 Goals58.6%

4+ Goals58.6%

2-4 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals41.4%

1-3 Goals39.5%

Over 4.5 Goals39.1%

3-4 Goals38.5%

2-3 Goals32.8%

Over 5.5 Goals23.1%

Under 2.5 Goals22.4%

1-2 Goals20.5%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.8%

Under 1.5 Goals8.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.9%

Home Team to Score71.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.5%

Away Clean Sheet28.0%

Away Win to Nil26.4%

Home Clean Sheet5.8%

Home Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.9%

Away Over 1.577.4%

Home Over 0.571.7%

Away Over 2.553.9%

Away 3+ Goals53.9%

Home Over 1.536.2%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Home Exactly 028.0%

Away Exactly 223.5%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 116.5%

Home Over 2.513.6%

Home 3+ Goals13.6%

Away Exactly 05.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home83.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home69.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)49.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home49.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)30.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away30.7%

Away to win by 3+30.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)30.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home30.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.9%

Away to win by 119.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.2%

Away to win by 219.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away16.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 18.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.8%

Home to win by 23.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.7%

Home to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.7%

Away & Over 2.558.5%

Away & BTTS43.4%

Away & No BTTS26.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS13.9%

Away & Under 2.511.2%

Home & Over 2.511.0%

Home & BTTS10.3%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Home & No BTTS4.2%

Home & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.3%

HT Over 1.555.3%

HT Away Win54.0%

HT/FT Away/Away48.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.4%

HT Draw29.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.1%

HT Home Win16.6%

HT Under 0.515.7%

HT/FT Home/Home8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners94.7%

Under 10.5 Corners90.1%

Under 9.5 Corners83.0%

Under 8.5 Corners72.9%

Home Most Corners53.6%

Home Over 4.5 Corners34.7%

Away Most Corners31.6%

Over 8.5 Corners27.1%

Away Over 4.5 Corners20.6%

Over 9.5 Corners17.0%

Over 10.5 Corners9.9%

Over 11.5 Corners5.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards84.1%

Over 2.5 Cards70.2%

Under 4.5 Cards70.2%

Under 3.5 Cards51.0%

Over 3.5 Cards49.0%

Under 2.5 Cards29.8%

Over 4.5 Cards29.8%

Over 5.5 Cards15.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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