Brazil · Serie A

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

50% confidence

Cruzeiro 24.0% Draw 26.0% Mirassol 50.0%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

82%

Away Win

Mirassol stronger

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Cruzeiro and Mirassol have different forms, with Mirassol being the stronger team. Cruzeiro's home record is not impressive, while Mirassol has a good away record. With key players like Rafael Guanaes, Mirassol has a strong attacking threat. Cruzeiro's defense is not solid, which could lead to goals. 5 Goals is the best pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 84.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

84.1%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Cruzeiro high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Mirassol high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Cruzeiro

W L W D W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Mirassol

W D W W L D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Cruzeiro win24.0%

Draw26.0%

Mirassol win50.0%

Over 1.5 goals84.1%

Over 2.5 goals62.0%

Over 3.5 goals39.6%

Both teams to score62.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.8%

Draw or Away (X2)75.0%

Draw No Bet - Away67.9%

Both Halves Over 0.563.1%

Goal in Both Halves63.1%

Away Win52.9%

Home or Draw (1X)47.1%

Draw No Bet - Home32.1%

Home Win25.0%

Draw22.1%

Exactly 1 Goal13.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.9%

Under 5.5 Goals89.5%

Over 1.5 Goals82.8%

Under 4.5 Goals78.2%

Over 2.5 Goals61.9%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 3.5 Goals60.4%

1-3 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.2%

3-4 Goals40.1%

Over 3.5 Goals39.6%

4+ Goals39.6%

Under 2.5 Goals38.1%

1-2 Goals34.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals20.9%

Under 1.5 Goals17.2%

Over 5.5 Goals10.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.5%

Home Team to Score71.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.7%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Away Win to Nil24.1%

Home Clean Sheet14.5%

Home Win to Nil10.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.5%

Home Over 0.571.8%

Away Over 1.557.4%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Over 2.530.4%

Away 3+ Goals30.4%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Away Exactly 128.0%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 014.5%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.4%

Away to win by 122.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 216.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.7%

Home to win by 114.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away14.4%

Away to win by 3+14.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.9%

Home to win by 26.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.4%

Home to win by 3+3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.3%

Away & Over 2.537.3%

Away & BTTS28.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.1%

Away & No BTTS24.1%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Home & Over 2.516.5%

Away & Under 2.515.5%

Home & BTTS14.5%

Draw & Under 2.514.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.5%

Home & No BTTS10.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.2%

HT Under 1.557.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Over 1.542.1%

HT Away Win40.3%

HT Draw37.0%

HT/FT Away/Away33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Both Teams Score25.2%

HT Under 0.523.8%

Equal Goals Each Half23.1%

HT Home Win22.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.2%

HT/FT Home/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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